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President Trump’s Proposed Corporate Tax Rate Drop

Summary: We present budgetary and economic estimates for President Trump's proposed corporate income tax rate reduction from 21 percent to 20 percent.

Table 1. Conventional Revenue Estimate, Fiscal Years 2021-2030

Billions of Dollars, Change from Current-Law Baseline

Year 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2021-2030
Revenues -7.0 -11.7 -13.0 -13.4 -13.8 -14.3 -15.2 -15.2 -15.0 -15.2 -133.7

Table 2. Economic Effects of Proposed Corporate Rate Drop

Percent Change from Baseline

Year GDP Capital Average Hourly Wage Hours Worked Debt Held By The Public
2030 0.04% 0.14% 0.02% -0.01% 0.87%
2040 -0.01% 0.02% -0.02% -0.03% 1.18%
2050 -0.10% -0.21% -0.10% -0.04% 1.29%