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Dynamic Distributional Analysis of the Biden Platform

Summary: PWBM uses dynamic distributional analysis to evaluate the effects of the Biden platform on different age and income groups. We find that working-age individuals in the bottom 40 percent of taxable income benefit the most due to expanded health insurance, increases in housing subsidies, and lower cost of prescriptions in the Biden platform, while young, high-income individuals and wealthy retirees see net losses due to tax increases and lower returns on their savings. Please refer to our analysis of the estimate for more information.

Table 1. Equivalent Variation for the Biden Platform

Note: Consistent with our previous dynamic analysis and the empirical evidence, the projections above assume that the U.S. economy is 40 percent open and 60 percent closed. Specifically, 40 percent of new government debt is purchased by foreigners.

    Age at start of simulation,0 to 20,20 to 40,40 to 60,60 to 80,80 to 100
    -20,78092,64494,-4275,-87623,-341069
    -10,75871,57480,19564,-90742,-360490
    0,68241,48373,14479,-102143,-353891
    10,66556,37490,12175,-94580,-319858
    20,67684,60423,14586,-83361,-281302
    30,84655,72348,56348,10558,-134381
    40,80313,61485,70584,48988,-47417
    50,62352,47949,58265,40311,-48375
    60,29089,29147,-6249,11827,-56095
    70,24951,6916,-43203,-155430,-553164
    80,19154,3298,-8978,-55007,-217456