Summary: On June 14th 2022, Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) introduced legislation (text, summary) that would make five changes to the tax code starting in tax year 2022:
- Expand the 0 percent capital gains bracket. The proposal expands the taxable income range over which capital gains are taxed at 0 percent from $41,675 ($83,350 married) to $89,075 ($178,150).
- Raise the Net Investment Income Tax (NIIT) threshold. The proposal raises the NIIT threshold for married filers from $250,000 to $400,000, keeping the threshold for single filers at $200,000. The threshold would be indexed to inflation going forward.
- Create an exclusion for interest income. The proposal allows single filers to exclude up to $300 ($600 married) of interest income from gross income.
- Expand the Saver’s Credit. The “Saver’s Credit” is a nonrefundable credit that matches up to 50 percent of retirement contributions of certain filers. Under the proposal, the maximum credit value is increased from $1,000 to $1,250 ($2,000 to $2,500 married) and the phaseout range is expanded such that the maximum qualifying AGI rises from $34,000 to $42,500 ($68,000 to $85,000) with a more gradual phaseout rate.
- Extend the limitation on the deduction for state and local taxes (SALT). The proposal extends the sunset date for the $10,000 cap on SALT deductions from end-of-year 2025 to 2028.
Table 1 contains conventional revenue estimates. We estimate the proposal would raise a net $122 billion over the budget window (2023-2032). The tax cut provisions considered alone would cost $278 billion. Tables 2 and 3 display projected distributional effects in tax years 2023 and 2026, respectively.
Provision | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | Budget window |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Create an exclusion for interest income | -3.4 | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -2.3 | -2.4 | -2.4 | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.6 | -24.3 |
Expand the 0 percent capital gains bracket | -25.5 | -15.3 | -15.8 | -17.2 | -18.1 | -18.4 | -18.7 | -19.2 | -20.0 | -20.3 | -188.5 |
Raise the NIIT threshold | -4.8 | -3.4 | -3.8 | -4.0 | -4.5 | -4.9 | -5.3 | -5.7 | -6.2 | -6.6 | -49.3 |
Expand the Saver’s Credit | -3.0 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.4 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -16.4 |
Extend the limitation on the deduction for SALT | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 97.5 | 131.6 | 139.1 | 32.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 400.7 |
Total | -36.7 | -22.3 | -23.2 | 72.5 | 105.1 | 112.0 | 4.6 | -28.9 | -30.1 | -30.7 | 122.2 |
Income group | Average tax change | Share with tax cut | Average tax cut | Share with tax increase | Average tax increase | Percent change in after-tax income | Share of tax change | Change in share of federal taxes paid |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bottom quintile | $0 | 0.4% | -$25 | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Second quintile | -$20 | 13.0% | -$155 | 0.0% | $0 | 0.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
Middle quintile | -$55 | 23.7% | -$230 | 0.0% | $0 | 0.1% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
Fourth quintile | -$140 | 32.2% | -$435 | 0.0% | $0 | 0.2% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
80-90% | -$420 | 49.5% | -$850 | 0.0% | $0 | 0.3% | 24.4% | -0.1% |
90-95% | -$690 | 63.4% | -$1,090 | 0.0% | $0 | 0.3% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
95-99% | -$980 | 75.9% | -$1,290 | 0.0% | $0 | 0.3% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
99-99.9% | -$660 | 87.9% | -$750 | 0.0% | $0 | 0.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
Top 0.1% | -$935 | 96.7% | -$965 | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Income group | Average tax change | Share with tax cut | Average tax cut | Share with tax increase | Average tax increase | Percent change in after-tax income | Share of tax change | Change in share of federal taxes paid |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bottom quintile | $0 | 0.4% | -$25 | 0.0% | $150 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Second quintile | -$15 | 13.0% | -$145 | 0.4% | $465 | 0.1% | -0.7% | -0.1% |
Middle quintile | -$30 | 22.8% | -$225 | 2.8% | $675 | 0.1% | -1.2% | -0.3% |
Fourth quintile | $15 | 26.7% | -$480 | 16.7% | $850 | 0.0% | 0.4% | -0.4% |
80-90% | $480 | 25.3% | -$1,270 | 49.9% | $1,605 | -0.3% | 6.5% | -0.2% |
90-95% | $1,085 | 25.7% | -$2,500 | 64.0% | $2,705 | -0.5% | 7.1% | -0.1% |
95-99% | $2,125 | 27.7% | -$3,125 | 65.4% | $4,565 | -0.6% | 10.9% | -0.1% |
99-99.9% | $33,385 | 15.4% | -$3,300 | 82.4% | $41,130 | -3.3% | 38.4% | 0.6% |
Top 0.1% | $283,120 | 13.1% | -$3,705 | 85.7% | $331,060 | -3.3% | 38.6% | 0.6% |