Aidan graduated from the College of William & Mary with a BA in public policy and economics in 2022. At PWBM, he advances data and estimation efforts in the population microsimulation model. His work aims to improve life cycle projections of earnings, wealth accumulation, and educational attainment. Additional projects he has worked on include analyzing trends in women’s employment and child penalties, developing a policy simulator for paid family leave, and estimating intergenerational mobility. He plans to pursue a PhD in economics or public policy with primary interests in labor and urban economics and secondary interests in public and development economics. His personal research agenda aims to leverage microdata and causal inference tools to investigate the spatial and familial drivers of economic resilience and wellbeing. Outside of work, Aidan enjoys lifting, running, cooking, and music. Prior to joining PWBM, he spent two summers singing professional a cappella.
Over 700,000 Temporary Protected Status (TPS) recipients lose legal status by the end of 2025, including 550,000 who are legally working. We estimate that TPS recipients contribute over $36 billion in annual GDP. Withdrawing their work authorization could add to labor shortages in construction, cleaning, and hospitality, especially in Florida, Texas and New York.
Note: This document was updated on 5/21/2024 to include a conventional distributional analysis and a dynamic distributional analysis of the three policy bundles.
The economic costs of the COVID-19 pandemic were widely expected to fall disproportionally on women. Instead, the employment rate of prime age women recovered faster than men’s and rose to its highest point in U.S. history in 2023. We show that the resilience of women’s employment is driven by two long-term trends that predate the pandemic and continued through it: 1) the growing share of women who are college graduates, and 2) the rising labor force participation of college-educated mothers with young children.
