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Earned Income Tax Credit

Harris Campaign: Revenue Effects of Child Tax Credit, EITC, and ACA Premium Subsidy

Vice President Harris recently announced a plan that would increase the Child Tax Credit in two ways, increase the “childless EITC,” and extend the 2021 expansion of Affordable Care Act premium subsidies. As shown in Table 1 below, we estimate a total cost of $2.1 trillion over 10 years. (PWBM will soon post updates of the Harris Campaign proposals. Check back soon.)

White House Build Back Better Framework, Illustrative Permanent Scenario

In order to provide additional context as part of the current reconciliation debate, PWBM has estimated a scenario where all spending and revenue provisions in the Build Back Better Framework are permanent. The table below reflects this alternative. These estimates are neither PWBM’s estimate of any current legislation nor PWBM’s estimates of the Build Back Better Framework released by the White House.

Senator Romney’s Proposed Family Security Act

In early February 2021, Senator Mitt Romney (R-UT) proposed the Family Security Act to consolidate several forms of federal child assistance into a single, expanded child benefit to be administered through the Social Security Administration (SSA).

The act would provide a fully-refundable child allowance of $4,200 annually ($350 per month) per child ages 0-5, and $3,000 annually ($250 per month) per child ages 6 through 17. The credit would phase out at a rate of $50 for every additional $1,000 of income above the phase out threshold ($200K single / $400K joint).

The act would also simplify the existing structure of the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), so that the value of the credit is determined by filing status (married or single), and whether or not there are any eligible dependents (the number of dependents would no longer affect the value of the credit).

Other proposed changes to the tax code include elimination of head of household status, elimination of the child and dependent care credit (CDCTC), and elimination of the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction.

PWBM projects that this proposal would cost $283 billion over the budget window, not including proposed changes to SNAP eligibility and elimination of TANF.

LIFT (Livable Incomes for Families Today) the Middle Class Act