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School Reopening During COVID-19: A Cost-Benefit Analysis for Philadelphia Suburbs

Summary: We estimate the average cost of a COVID-19 infection for four Philadelphia-area counties at $8,000 to $13,000, less than half of our national average cost estimate ($27,230). We estimate a trade-off between cost of infections to the community from in-person schooling versus the lost future earnings to students from closing schools. For example, if Montgomery county had implemented full in-person school in the fall, we project the costs of infection would have been at most $429 million. However, closing schools costs students as much as $4.4 billion in present value of future wages.

Key Points

  • Using the newest available data, we estimate that the average cost of a COVID-19 infection is $27,230—about five times more costly than a typical flu infection. These costs include expected cost for loss-of-life, medical costs, and productivity losses by age.

  • Cost of COVID-19 measures for four Philadelphia-area counties are significantly lower than the national average and range from about $8,000 to $13,000. We also calculate a school openness index for these four counties. We do not find a statistically significant relationship between the cost of COVID-19 and the level of school openness, thereby suggesting that schools did not take these differential costs into account.

  • We calculate an upper bound estimate of the cost of COVID-19 from school opening and compare against an upper bound of the present value loss to students’ future earnings. For example, if Montgomery County had implemented full in-person school in the fall, we project the costs of infection would have been at most $429 million while closing schools would have cost students as much as $4.4 billion. Both these values decline under alternative assumptions: infection costs from school opening drop by attributing some COVID-19 cases to non-school transmission while education losses are lower from alternative methods of learning, including home and online schooling.


School Reopening During COVID-19: A Cost-Benefit Analysis for Philadelphia Suburbs

Introduction

Since the start of the 2020 school year, school districts have operated with various combinations of distance learning approaches and in-person schooling in order to balance the risk of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic against the costs to families and students of school closures. In response to the recent increase in infections across the country, policymakers have been adjusting their school re-opening plans.

We previously analyzed the trade-off between average costs of a new COVID-19 infection versus the future income losses to students from missed education. School closures and virtual schooling can be costly to students and parents in terms of reduced learning outcomes, mental health and emotional costs, increased incidence of substance abuse and physical abuse, time and productivity costs to parents and caregivers, and other negative effects. At the same time, in-person schooling undoubtedly raises the risk of an increase in the community infection rate as students, teachers, and staff gather in indoor spaces. Although research is ongoing, recent empirical studies have tended to find that schools are not a major source of COVID-19 spread.1

A COVID-19 infection leads to a variety of health outcomes for the infected individual: asymptomatic, mild illness, severe illness, or sometimes death. Following our previous methodology, we calculate an expected cost for loss-of-life, medical costs, and productivity loss by using current data on COVID-19 effects by age group, value-of-life estimates, and wages. Similar methods have been applied to estimate the average cost of an influenza infection, such as a 2007 study2 which finds the average cost of a new influenza infection to be $4,972, with death cost, medical expenditure and lost earnings taking up 69%, 12%, and 19% of the total cost, respectively. Our updated national average cost of a COVID-19 infection in November3 is $27,230, implying that COVID-19 is about five times more costly per infection than influenza.

We localize the cost of COVID estimates by looking at age distribution, relative severity, and median wages at the county level for a select group of suburban counties north of the city of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Decisions made at the school district level implicitly account for trade-offs between the local cost of COVID-19 infections versus costs to students and families from school operating restrictions that limit in-person learning. We try to understand these trade-off decisions by looking at changes in COVID-19 costs as school districts changed their school opening policy. Although we do not find a statistically significant relationship between changes in school openness and the cost of COVID-19, we look at trade-offs school districts may have faced by assuming school opening was responsible for all new infections.

Local cost of COVID-19 infections

As in our prior post, we look at a weighted average of life-years lost, hospitalization costs, and lost labor income from a new COVID-19 infection, but we localize to data from Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery counties in Pennsylvania.

We use the county level weekly fatality rate from Carnegie Mellon University’s Real-time COVID-19 Indicators, the age composition of cases collected from each county’s COVID-19 dashboard,4 and the relative wage income calculated from the 2019 American Community Survey (ACS). Table 1 shows the national and county average cost per case.

Table 1: Dollar Cost per COVID-19 Infection by County

DOWNLOAD DATA
Region August September October November
Nationwide $58,972 $58,481 $46,720 $27,230
Bucks County $15,673 $31,894 $19,845 $12,726
Chester County $21,510 $18,584 $13,879 $10,303
Delaware County $42,179 $47,612 $11,513 $7,896
Montgomery County $18,783 $23,805 $14,679 $10,104

The cost in all four Philadelphia-area counties has been lower than the national average, mainly due to a lower fatality rate. The primary trend, both nationally and within these counties, has been a declining cost per infection.

Using the cost per case, we multiply by the number of weekly new cases to calculate each county’s additional weekly cost from COVID-19 infections as shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1: Cost of New Weekly COVID-19 Infections by County

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Weekly additional costs in all four counties have been surging recently with Bucks County and Montgomery County reaching highs since August. These higher weekly additional costs come from significantly higher incidence rates in recent weeks, even as the local cost per case has been declining.

School re-openings

We classify the level of in-person learning according to an openness index, ranging from 0 to 100, where 0 represents completely virtual schooling and 100 represents completely in-person schooling. The index is calculated from the percentage of students (determined by grade level enrollment by county5) who are able to attend school and the number of days per week these students are able to attend school in person. (We do not measure realized openness, meaning the percentage of students who actually attended in-person school.) For instance, a school district with a hybrid reopening where K-12 students attend school on A/B days and everyone is remote on Fridays (two in-person school days per week per student) would have an openness index of 40.

Local and county-level policymakers make school re-opening decisions against the backdrop of COVID-19 infection rates in the area. County health departments in Bucks County, Chester County, and Montgomery County have provided guidance for moving to new phases of school openings based on predetermined threshold incidence rates. School boards take both county guidance and local conditions into account when making opening decisions.6

Figure 2: School Openness Index by School District and County, Fall 2020

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Please view online for additonal years.

Estimating trade-offs

County health departments and school boards try to account for a variety of benefits, costs, and interests in their school opening guidance and decisions. There is uncertainty about the potential increase in community infections from a particular operating policy. There is also uncertainty about the resulting distribution of who gets infected. For our estimate, we assume that all increases and decreases in COVID-19 cost to the community are due to school opening policy. Clearly, this assumption is a gross overestimate of the effect of school policy on community infections (especially given the recent evidence that schools are not a significant source of infection spread), but it provides an upper bound.

We calculate the change in the average weekly total cost of COVID-19 divided by the change in school openness in each county. This provides an estimate of the cost effect of a one percentage point increase toward in-person schooling. If the community decides to open schools, this estimate is the resulting upper bound on cost. If the community decides to move toward virtual schooling, this is the cost that is avoided. Looking at this cost on a per capita basis gives the cost imposed (or avoided) on each person in the county by school opening (or closure).

If we think of the COVID cost avoided, then putting students into virtual school would presumably do less harm than the avoided cost. Policymakers implicitly compare these costs and their presumed harm on students and decide whether to impose the COVID cost on the wider community. We, therefore, calculate the cost of COVID on a per student basis in order to clarify this trade-off. As a simple example, suppose a community has 100 people and 10 students and the cost effect of school opening is estimated to be $1000. If policymakers decide to make schooling virtual, then each member of the community avoids $10 in cost. The additional harm to the ten students is not known in this example, but policymakers’ decision to close schools implies that they considered the $1000 community cost (or $100 per student) to be greater than the harm to students.

Table 2 shows the upper bound weekly costs of COVID from a one percentage point increase in school openness. We show each county’s average for the month and normalize these costs per capita (and per student). For Bucks, Chester, and Montgomery Counties, costs of school openness decline between September and October, then increase between October and November. For Delaware County, we find increasing costs of openness over time. Overall, school opening does not appear to have a consistent relationship with the cost of COVID, especially once we account for time trends. Various regression analyses (looking at lagged effects) find no statistical significance between school openness and the costs of COVID-19.

Table 2: Upper Bound Effects of a One Percentage Point Increase in School Openness on Weekly Cost of COVID-19

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Month September October November
Bucks County Per capita cost/wk $0.85 -$0.13 $4.03
Per student cost/wk $6.42 -$0.97 $30.47
Average in-person school days/wk 0.5 1.5 1.8
Chester County Per capita cost/wk $2.35 -$0.21 $0.53
Per student cost/wk $16.87 -$1.54 $3.80
Average in-person school days/wk 0.2 0.9 1.8
Delaware County Per capita cost/wk -$1.48 -$0.66 $21.58
Per student cost/wk -$9.73 -$4.31 $141.90
Average in-person school days/wk 0.2 1.1 1.1
Montgomery County Per capita cost/wk $0.22 -$0.08 $3.97
Per student cost/wk $1.63 -$0.59 $29.01
Average in-person school days/wk 0.4 0.8 1.0

Note: Results are shown on a per capita and a per student basis along with average amount of in-person schooling per week.

Table 2 also shows the level of school openness increasing over time in all counties, reaching a peak in November in Bucks and Chester Counties. On average, Bucks and Chester County K-12 students attended in-person school just shy of two days a week in November. Montgomery County closed schools at the end of November. If the same cost of COVID-19 for November continues into December, then Montgomery County would avoid at most a $79.407 cost per person in the county by going from an openness index of 20 (one in-person school day per week on average) to zero. Meanwhile, harm per student from virtual school would presumably be less than $580 on average.8

In our previous post, we estimated an average upper bound loss to students’ future earnings from school closure. Table 3 applies this metric to compare (a) cost of COVID-19 infections, assuming a full school re-opening where all new infections9 are the result of school opening policy, versus (b) students’ future wage earnings losses assuming full school closure. Both thresholds are upper bounds for their respective costs but serve as a basis to estimate total trade-offs taken during the fall semester to date in these four counties.

Table 3: Comparison of Costs to Full Reopening and to Full Closure

DOWNLOAD DATA
County September-November
Estimated Covid costs due to a full school reopening Estimated wage earning losses due to a full school closure
Bucks County $362.0m $3,222.7m
Chester County $133.8m $2,841.4m
Delaware County -$137.9m $3,319.8m
Montgomery County $429.2m $4,418.9m

Note: Earnings losses are estimated by multiplying the per student earnings loss by the number of public school students in the county.

Projections of positive COVID-19 costs from a full school re-opening are no larger than 12% of the loss to future lifetime earnings associated with missed education from a full school closure. Delaware County has negative projected costs because its cost of COVID actually declined as its schools re-opened (see Figure 1) at the end of September (see Figure 2). Distance learning is likely less harmful to educational attainment (and therefore future earnings) than full school closure. However, our statistical analysis implies there is little correlation between the actual cost of COVID-19 and school re-opening, so the additional cost of COVID-19 from school opening is likely much closer to zero. Therefore, virtual schooling would have to be almost as effective as in-person schooling in order to justify restricting in-person schooling as a means to reduce the county’s cost from COVID-19 infections.



This analysis was conducted by Maddison Erbabian and Youran Wu under the direction of Efraim Berkovich. Prepared for the website by Mariko Paulson.


  1. https://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/pediatrics/early/2020/10/16/peds.2020-031971.full.pdf
    https://biocomsc.upc.edu/en/shared/20201002_report_136.pdf
    https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/10/schools-arent-superspreaders/616669/
    https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/risk-comms-updates/update39-covid-and-schools.pdf?sfvrsn=320db233_2
    https://education.org/facts-and-insights#f09a6e46-8c5f-4d01-8297-d2a3f6c8f873  ↩

  2. Morlinari et al. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17544181/  ↩

  3. Our cost of COVID estimates for previous months have been updated from our previous post due to additional and updated data from CDC and minor methodological changes.  ↩

  4. Bucks County: https://bucksgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/a7e4f8a794a34bb5903813cdea584edb
    Chester County: https://chesco.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/975082d579454c3ca7877db0a44e61ca
    Delaware County: https://chesco.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bce5af8a6f454ee78e00b5adc67f4c4a
    Montgomery County: https://data-montcopa.opendata.arcgis.com/pages/covid-19  ↩

  5. Enrollment by grade level and county is from Open Data PA. The most recent data available is for the 2017-2018 school year, so we assume these counties exhibit the same trends as the national trends in grade level specific enrollment between the 2017-2018 school year and the 2020-2021 school year. National level enrollment data is obtained from the National Center for Education Statistics.  ↩

  6. Some examples of school boards making their reopening decision process clear include: The School District of Haverford Township, Hatboro-Horsham School District, Pennsbury School District, and Great Valley School District  ↩

  7. $3.97 * 20 = $79.40 weekly cost per capita from a change of openness index from 0 to 20.  ↩

  8. $29.01 * 20 = $580.20.  ↩

  9. The new infections are relative to the baseline level of infection cost as measured in the four weeks prior to the actual school re-opening.  ↩

  County	School District	Enactment Date	Openness Index
  Bucks	Bensalem	2020-09-08	0
  Bucks	Bensalem	2020-11-16	0.400000006
  Bucks	Bristol Borough	2020-09-09	0
  Bucks	Bristol Borough	2020-10-13	0.400000006
  Bucks	Bristol Borough	2020-10-19	0.400000006
  Bucks	Bristol Borough	2020-11-23	0
  Bucks	Bristol Township	2020-09-08	0
  Bucks	Bristol Township	2020-11-23	0.267399997
  Bucks	Bristol Township	2020-11-30	0.400000006
  Bucks	Centennial	2020-09-01	0
  Bucks	Centennial	2020-11-09	0.289200008
  Bucks	Central Bucks	2020-09-08	0
  Bucks	Central Bucks	2020-09-30	0.585839987
  Bucks	Council Rock	2020-09-08	0
  Bucks	Council Rock	2020-09-29	0.351980001
  Bucks	Morrisville	2020-09-08	0
  Bucks	Neshaminy	2020-09-08	0
  Bucks	Neshaminy	2020-10-05	0.400000006
  Bucks	Neshaminy	2020-11-30	0.568639994
  Bucks	New Hope-Solebury	2020-09-08	0
  Bucks	New Hope-Solebury	2020-11-09	0.421600014
  Bucks	New Hope-Solebury	2020-11-12	0.652960002
  Bucks	New Hope-Solebury	2020-11-23	0
  Bucks	Palisades	2020-09-01	0.668500006
  Bucks	Palisades	2020-10-05	1
  Bucks	Pennridge	2020-09-02	0.400000006
  Bucks	Pennsbury	2020-09-08	0
  Bucks	Pennsbury	2020-11-12	0.168640003
  Bucks	Quakertown Community	2020-09-14	0.400000006
  Bucks	Quakertown Community	2020-10-12	0.652960002
  Bucks	Quakertown Community	2020-11-18	0.231360003
  Chester	Avon Grove	2020-08-31	0
  Chester	Avon Grove	2020-11-16	0.335799992
  Chester	Avon Grove	2020-11-30	0.5
  Chester	Coatesville	2020-08-31	0
  Chester	Coatesville	2020-11-09	0.300000012
  Chester	Downingtown	2020-08-31	0
  Chester	Downingtown	2020-10-26	0.268640012
  Chester	Downingtown	2020-11-09	0.400000006
  Chester	Great Valley	2020-08-31	0
  Chester	Great Valley	2020-10-20	0.400000006
  Chester	Great Valley	2020-10-26	0.400000006
  Chester	Kennett Consolidated	2020-09-08	0
  Chester	Kennett Consolidated	2020-10-26	0.211149991
  Chester	Kennett Consolidated	2020-11-16	0.442229986
  Chester	Octorara	2020-09-08	0
  Chester	Octorara	2020-10-12	0.671599984
  Chester	Octorara	2020-10-26	0.653379977
  Chester	Owen J. Roberts	2020-09-08	0
  Chester	Owen J. Roberts	2020-10-12	0.400000006
  Chester	Oxford	2020-08-31	0
  Chester	Oxford	2020-10-26	0.168919995
  Chester	Oxford	2020-11-04	0.268640012
  Chester	Oxford	2020-11-09	0.400000006
  Chester	Phoenixville	2020-08-24	0
  Chester	Phoenixville	2020-10-19	0.400000006
  Chester	Phoenixville	2020-10-26	0.400000006
  Chester	Phoenixville	2020-11-05	0.400000006
  Chester	Phoenixville	2020-11-09	0.400000006
  Chester	Phoenixville	2020-11-23	0
  Chester	Tredyffrin-Easttown	2020-08-31	0
  Chester	Tredyffrin-Easttown	2020-10-12	0.300280005
  Chester	Tredyffrin-Easttown	2020-10-16	0.400000006
  Chester	Tredyffrin-Easttown	2020-10-19	0.400000006
  Chester	Tredyffrin-Easttown	2020-10-20	0.400000006
  Chester	Tredyffrin-Easttown	2020-11-23	0
  Chester	Twin Valley	2020-08-27	1
  Chester	Unionville-Chadds Ford	2020-09-08	0
  Chester	Unionville-Chadds Ford	2020-10-12	0.193224996
  Chester	Unionville-Chadds Ford	2020-10-26	0.404101789
  Chester	Unionville-Chadds Ford	2020-11-16	0.211149991
  Chester	West Chester	2020-08-31	0
  Chester	West Chester	2020-10-19	0.168919995
  Chester	West Chester	2020-11-05	0.400000006
  Delaware	Chester Upland	2020-09-01	0
  Delaware	Chichester	2020-09-08	0
  Delaware	Chichester	2020-10-19	0.400040001
  Delaware	Chichester	2020-10-26	0.400040001
  Delaware	Garnet Valley	2020-09-01	0
  Delaware	Garnet Valley	2020-09-29	0.371899992
  Delaware	Garnet Valley	2020-10-13	0.185479999
  Delaware	Garnet Valley	2020-10-19	0.400040001
  Delaware	Haverford Township	2020-08-31	0
  Delaware	Haverford Township	2020-10-05	0.400040001
  Delaware	Haverford Township	2020-10-12	0.280039996
  Delaware	Haverford Township	2020-10-19	0.400040001
  Delaware	Interboro	2020-09-17	0
  Delaware	Interboro	2020-09-28	0.463699996
  Delaware	Interboro	2020-09-30	0.613700032
  Delaware	Interboro	2020-10-05	0.692449987
  Delaware	Marple Newtown	2020-09-08	0
  Delaware	Marple Newtown	2020-10-05	0.185479999
  Delaware	Marple Newtown	2020-10-12	0.400040001
  Delaware	Penn-Delco	2020-09-08	0
  Delaware	Penn-Delco	2020-10-05	0.185479999
  Delaware	Penn-Delco	2020-10-08	0.280039996
  Delaware	Penn-Delco	2020-10-12	0.400040001
  Delaware	Radnor Township	2020-09-08	0
  Delaware	Radnor Township	2020-09-29	0.500050008
  Delaware	Ridley	2020-09-08	0
  Delaware	Ridley	2020-09-28	0.350050002
  Delaware	Ridley	2020-09-30	0.463699996
  Delaware	Ridley	2020-10-02	0.359096795
  Delaware	Rose Tree Media	2020-09-01	0
  Delaware	Rose Tree Media	2020-10-05	0.656450033
  Delaware	Rose Tree Media	2020-11-20	0.400040001
  Delaware	Southeast Delco	2020-09-08	0
  Delaware	Springfield	2020-09-08	0
  Delaware	Springfield	2020-10-08	0.305480003
  Delaware	Springfield	2020-10-12	0.400040001
  Delaware	Springfield	2020-10-15	0.400040001
  Delaware	Upper Darby	2020-08-31	0
  Delaware	Wallingford-Swarthmore	2020-08-31	0
  Delaware	Wallingford-Swarthmore	2020-10-01	0.185479999
  Delaware	Wallingford-Swarthmore	2020-10-05	0.185479999
  Delaware	Wallingford-Swarthmore	2020-10-12	0.340039998
  Delaware	William Penn	2020-09-14	0
  Montgomery	Abington	2020-09-08	0
  Montgomery	Abington	2020-11-30	0.400000006
  Montgomery	Boyertown Area	2020-09-21	0.173600003
  Montgomery	Boyertown Area	2020-09-28	0.270880014
  Montgomery	Boyertown Area	2020-10-05	0.400000006
  Montgomery	Boyertown Area	2020-11-09	0.573599994
  Montgomery	Boyertown Area	2020-11-25	0
  Montgomery	Cheltenham Township	2020-08-31	0
  Montgomery	Colonial	2020-08-31	0
  Montgomery	Colonial	2020-10-19	0.173600003
  Montgomery	Colonial	2020-10-26	0.400000006
  Montgomery	Colonial	2020-11-23	0
  Montgomery	Hatboro-Horsham	2020-09-08	0
  Montgomery	Hatboro-Horsham	2020-10-26	0.434000015
  Montgomery	Hatboro-Horsham	2020-11-05	0.173600003
  Montgomery	Hatboro-Horsham	2020-11-09	0.400000006
  Montgomery	Hatboro-Horsham	2020-11-23	0
  Montgomery	Jenkintown	2020-09-14	1
  Montgomery	Jenkintown	2020-11-13	0
  Montgomery	Lower Merion	2020-09-08	0
  Montgomery	Lower Merion	2020-09-29	0.217000008
  Montgomery	Lower Merion	2020-10-05	0.173600003
  Montgomery	Lower Merion	2020-10-12	0.173600003
  Montgomery	Lower Merion	2020-10-19	0.400000006
  Montgomery	Lower Merion	2020-10-26	0
  Montgomery	Lower Merion	2020-11-09	0.412120014
  Montgomery	Lower Merion	2020-11-13	0
  Montgomery	Lower Moreland Township	2020-08-31	0.400000006
  Montgomery	Lower Moreland Township	2020-11-02	0
  Montgomery	Lower Moreland Township	2020-11-16	0.400000006
  Montgomery	Lower Moreland Township	2020-11-23	0
  Montgomery	Methacton	2020-09-08	0
  Montgomery	Methacton	2020-11-09	0.400000006
  Montgomery	Methacton	2020-11-16	0
  Montgomery	Norristown Area	2020-08-31	0
  Montgomery	North Penn	2020-08-31	0
  Montgomery	North Penn	2020-10-26	0.173600003
  Montgomery	North Penn	2020-11-09	0.400000006
  Montgomery	North Penn	2020-11-23	0
  Montgomery	Perkiomen Valley	2020-09-08	0
  Montgomery	Perkiomen Valley	2020-09-29	0.33860001
  Montgomery	Perkiomen Valley	2020-10-19	0.418626398
  Montgomery	Perkiomen Valley	2020-11-09	0.418626398
  Montgomery	Perkiomen Valley	2020-11-23	0
  Montgomery	Pottsgrove	2020-08-31	0
  Montgomery	Pottstown	2020-08-24	0
  Montgomery	Souderton Area	2020-09-08	0.400000006
  Montgomery	Souderton Area	2020-09-29	1
  Montgomery	Souderton Area	2020-11-23	0
  Montgomery	Spring-Ford Area	2020-09-08	0
  Montgomery	Spring-Ford Area	2020-11-12	0.595200002
  Montgomery	Springfield Township	2020-09-08	0
  Montgomery	Springfield Township	2020-11-09	0.400000006
  Montgomery	Upper Dublin	2020-09-08	0
  Montgomery	Upper Dublin	2020-11-04	0.434000015
  Montgomery	Upper Dublin	2020-11-09	0.629199982
  Montgomery	Upper Dublin	2020-11-23	0
  Montgomery	Upper Merion Area	2020-08-31	0
  Montgomery	Upper Moreland	2020-08-31	0
  Montgomery	Upper Moreland	2020-11-16	0.270880014
  Montgomery	Upper Moreland	2020-11-23	0
  Montgomery	Upper Perkiomen	2020-08-31	0
  Montgomery	Wissahickon	2020-08-30	0.434000015
  Montgomery	Wissahickon	2020-08-31	0.434000015
  Montgomery	Wissahickon	2020-11-09	0.717000008
  County	EnactmentDate	Enactment Date	Openness Index
  Bucks	901	2020-09-01	0.01337
  Bucks	902	2020-09-02	0.045370001
  Bucks	908	2020-09-08	0.045370001
  Bucks	909	2020-09-09	0.045370001
  Bucks	914	2020-09-14	0.069370002
  Bucks	929	2020-09-29	0.115127403
  Bucks	930	2020-09-30	0.244012196
  Bucks	1005	2020-10-05	0.294642195
  Bucks	1012	2020-10-12	0.309819795
  Bucks	1013	2020-10-13	0.313819795
  Bucks	1019	2020-10-19	0.313819795
  Bucks	1109	2020-11-09	0.342495796
  Bucks	1112	2020-11-12	0.367359795
  Bucks	1116	2020-11-16	0.399359797
  Bucks	1118	2020-11-18	0.374063797
  Bucks	1123	2020-11-23	0.378396596
  Bucks	1130	2020-11-30	0.407554994
  Chester	824	2020-08-24	0
  Chester	827	2020-08-27	0.039999999
  Chester	831	2020-08-31	0.039999999
  Chester	908	2020-09-08	0.039999999
  Chester	1012	2020-10-12	0.12783725
  Chester	1016	2020-10-16	0.137809249
  Chester	1019	2020-10-19	0.184836447
  Chester	1020	2020-10-20	0.208836447
  Chester	1026	2020-10-26	0.288303889
  Chester	1104	2020-11-04	0.293289891
  Chester	1105	2020-11-05	0.330262695
  Chester	1109	2020-11-09	0.384475495
  Chester	1116	2020-11-16	0.412198703
  Chester	1123	2020-11-23	0.352198704
  Chester	1130	2020-11-30	0.363692706
  Delaware	831	2020-08-31	0
  Delaware	901	2020-09-01	0
  Delaware	908	2020-09-08	0
  Delaware	914	2020-09-14	0
  Delaware	917	2020-09-17	0
  Delaware	928	2020-09-28	0.039551001
  Delaware	929	2020-09-29	0.081867
  Delaware	930	2020-09-30	0.094686
  Delaware	1001	2020-10-01	0.1021052
  Delaware	1002	2020-10-02	0.095829008
  Delaware	1005	2020-10-05	0.174642707
  Delaware	1008	2020-10-08	0.193699107
  Delaware	1012	2020-10-12	0.209591907
  Delaware	1013	2020-10-13	0.198406708
  Delaware	1015	2020-10-15	0.198406708
  Delaware	1019	2020-10-19	0.235681909
  Delaware	1026	2020-10-26	0.235681909
  Delaware	1120	2020-11-20	0.222861408
  Montgomery	824	2020-08-24	0
  Montgomery	830	2020-08-30	0.01736
  Montgomery	831	2020-08-31	0.02536
  Montgomery	908	2020-09-08	0.049360001
  Montgomery	914	2020-09-14	0.05936
  Montgomery	921	2020-09-21	0.069776
  Montgomery	928	2020-09-28	0.075612801
  Montgomery	929	2020-09-29	0.1459028
  Montgomery	1005	2020-10-05	0.150178
  Montgomery	1012	2020-10-12	0.150178
  Montgomery	1019	2020-10-19	0.179235321
  Montgomery	1026	2020-10-26	0.19274732
  Montgomery	1102	2020-11-02	0.18474732
  Montgomery	1104	2020-11-04	0.20210732
  Montgomery	1105	2020-11-05	0.19169132
  Montgomery	1109	2020-11-09	0.312164924
  Montgomery	1112	2020-11-12	0.353828925
  Montgomery	1113	2020-11-13	0.310859323
  Montgomery	1116	2020-11-16	0.310985724
  Montgomery	1123	2020-11-23	0.112760003
  Montgomery	1125	2020-11-25	0.078344001
  Montgomery	1130	2020-11-30	0.106344002
  Date,Bucks County,Chester County,Delaware County,Montgomery County
  7/31- 8/6,4247378,5183809,19655507,4883675
  8/7-8/13,3134596,4000782,17715264,5278126
  8/14-8/20,3040558,3570591,17293472,5710143
  8/21-8/27,2413639,2882284,11852355,5691360
  8/28-9/3,3651804,4753618,13876957,5973111
  9/4-9/10,7941555,6913323,11950566,7641504
  9/11-9/17,8515643,5854023,13188473,6903540
  9/18-9/24,8132918,5203576,10998329,6165575
  9/25-10/1,8260493,4794724,14426380,6332212
  10/2-10/8,4822311,3386491,3845460,4697247
  10/9-10/15,6211454,4011049,5031335,5196330
  10/16-10/22,5536727,3358733,5940890,5093578
  10/23-10/29,9724001,5412835,8669554,9717431
  10/30-11/5,8157630,4409775,6782248,9022628
  11/6-11/12,16977033,4801297,10698424,15701191
  11/13-11/19,23505682,11446870,14156659,20823781
  11/20-11/26,28265359,12539011,14022436,22733385
  11/27-12/3,33445009,12590527,14290883,25673569