Key Points
PWBM's baseline projects that, by the end of 2021, social contact rates return to 70 percent of pre-COVID levels and 25 percent of eligible U.S. residents choose to remain unvaccinated.
If instead all eligible residents are vaccinated, PWBM projects a cumulative 5.3 million to 8.3 million fewer cases in 2021, an increase in employment of 2.6 million by December 2021, and a 2 percentage point increase in Q4 2020 to Q4 2021 GDP growth.
However, if vaccine hesitancy persists and people optimistically increase social contact rates beyond 70 percent, a “perfect storm” emerges. If social contact rates rise to 85 percent of pre-COVID levels, PWBM projects up to 4.6 million additional cases in 2021.
Health and Economic Effects of Reducing COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy
PWBM recently analyzed the impact of COVID-19 vaccination on the outlook for the pandemic and the economy in 2021, showing that both hinge on the pace of the vaccine rollout this year. In this brief we use the same framework to consider the impact of the public’s behavioral choices and how they interact with the vaccine rollout. We explore two variations on our baseline forecasts of behavior: changes in the share of the eligible population that decides to get vaccinated in 2021 (“vaccine hesitancy”), and changes in the degree to which social distancing is relaxed or maintained in 2021.
In PWBM’s baseline estimates for 2021, we project that 75 percent of eligible US residents will be vaccinated in 2021. That forecast is based on recent surveys in which between 20 and 30 percent of respondents indicate that they are unlikely to get a vaccine.1 To estimate the effects of vaccine hesitancy, we consider what would happen if 100 percent of those eligible received a vaccine in 2021. We also consider the effects of a lower take-up rate of 60 percent, which corresponds to the share of respondents indicating they intended to get the vaccine in surveys conducted in late 2020.
Note: The vaccine take-up rate is the percentage of eligible US residents who receive a COVID-19 vaccine.
Figure 1 plots the share of the population with immunity from vaccination in PWBM’s baseline and the two alternatives, under the assumption that the number of daily vaccinations in the US peaks at 3 million. In the baseline, about 55% of the population obtains vaccine-induced immunity by the end of summer. If 100 percent of the eligible population chose to get vaccinated, that share would rise to nearly 75 percent, with the remaining quarter of the population consisting mostly of children under 16 who will likely not be vaccinated until 2022. If only 60% of the eligible population chose to get vaccinated, less than half of the total population would have vaccine-induced immunity in the second half of the year.
In PWBM’s baseline, new cases continue declining into the spring and stabilize between 25 and 50 thousand (depending on the pace of vaccination) over the summer. However, we project a surge in daily cases to around 100 thousand in the winter of 2021. This surge is driven by four factors: the persistence of relaxed social distancing; the prevalence of the more transmissible B.1.1.7 variant of the virus; a seasonal increase in infectiousness; and the lack of immunity among most children—who will likely not be vaccinated until 2022—and among most adults who decline the vaccine.2 Because many in this remaining susceptible population will become infected during the winter wave and then develop natural immunity, we project that the US will attain effective population immunity by the end of 2021 and that the pandemic will be essentially over in early 2022.
Figure 2 shows the daily number of new confirmed cases under the three paths for the vaccine take-up rate, given alternative assumptions for the peak number of daily vaccinations in 2021. We assume that vaccination capacity is fully utilized in all scenarios, meaning that changes in the take-up rate affect how long it takes to administer the vaccine to everyone who wants it but do not affect the maximum number of doses administered per day. Differences in take-up rate therefore have no impact until the second half of the year, when the vaccination campaign either ends sooner or continues longer than in the baseline.
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3 million
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Note: The vaccine take-up rate is the percentage of eligible US residents who receive a COVID-19 vaccine.
If only 60 percent of eligible US residents are vaccinated in 2021, the number of infections would be significantly higher than in our baseline throughout the second half of the year. Daily new cases would remain above 50 thousand over the summer and rise sharply to a higher peak during the projected winter wave. In total, the number of cases in 2021 would be between 5 and 6 million higher than in the baseline.
If all eligible US residents are vaccinated in 2021, we project that the pandemic will effectively be over by the fall. With a vaccine take-up rate of 100 percent, effective population immunity would be attained at some point this summer, depending on the pace of vaccination. Including children under 16 who have immunity from having been previously infected, we project that around 80 percent of the population would be immune by mid-August at the latest. At a daily vaccination rate of 4 million doses, this point would be reached by the end of June. In this environment, new cases would decline over the summer and early fall to the lowest levels since the initial outbreak in March of 2020. Cases would remain at low levels for the rest of 2021, rising slightly in the winter rather than surging in a new wave as in the baseline. Critically, new infections towards the end of 2021 would be concentrated among children, who are less likely to experience severe symptoms and have much lower rates of hospitalization and mortality than adults. In total, the number of cases in 2021 would be between 5.3 and 8.3 million lower than in our baseline, depending on the pace of vaccination.
Differences in the vaccine take-up rate lead to large differences in the state of the economy at the end of 2021. With a take-up rate of 100%, the pandemic would largely be over by the fall, allowing most economic activity to resume. We project that civilian employment would rise from around 150 million in February to 156.5 million in December. This is 2.6 million higher than PWBM’s baseline projection, though still more than 2 million below the pre-pandemic peak. We project that real GDP would grow about 8 percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021, compared with just above 6 percent in PWBM’s baseline.
The negative effects of a lower take-up rate of 60% are smaller but still significant. We project that employment would end the year at 152.5 million and four-quarter real GDP growth of around 5.5 percent in 2021.
In PWBM’s baseline estimates for 2021, we project that both voluntary and mandated social distancing behaviors will be substantially relaxed over the course of the spring and summer. The intensity of social distancing is reflected in the contact rate—the frequency of close physical proximity to other persons outside the home.3 In PWBM’s baseline, the contact rate rises from about 80 percent below its pre-COVID “normal” at the end of 2020 to around 30 percent below normal at the end of 2021. To explore the effects of relaxing social distancing more or less rapidly, we consider two alternative paths for the contact rate in 2021: a faster increase to roughly 15 percent below normal at the end of the year (i.e. less social distancing) and a slower increase to roughly 45 percent below normal at the end of the year (i.e. more social distancing).
Note: Social distancing intensity is defined in terms of the percentage gap between the projected contact rate at the end of 2021 and an estimate of the “normal” contact rate in the absence of COVID-19.
Figure 3 plots the contact rate under PWBM’s baseline and the two alternative paths, under the assumption that the number of daily vaccinations in the US peaks at 3 million. As we discuss in the brief, PWBM’s model accounts for the two-way relationship between behavior and public health outcomes: growth in infections depends on the intensity of social distancing, which determines the likelihood that the virus will spread. At the same time, the intensity of social distancing depends on perceptions of the risk of infection, which the public assesses based on confirmed infections. If an initial relaxation of social distancing leads to an increase in the number of COVID-19 cases, the public’s response to the increased risk will eventually offset some of the initial rise in the contact rate. The reverse occurs in response to an intensification of social distancing. Because of these feedback effects, the differences between the baseline and the two alternative paths are not symmetric over the course of the year even though the initial changes are.
Figure 4 shows the daily number of new confirmed cases under the three paths for social distancing, given alternative assumptions for the peak number of daily vaccinations in 2021.4
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Note: Social distancing intensity is defined in terms of the percentage gap between the projected contact rate at the end of 2021 and an estimate of the “normal” contact rate in the absence of COVID-19.
If social distancing is relaxed more rapidly and the contact rate rises to 15 percent below normal over the course of 2021, the epidemiological outlook for the spring and summer worsens considerably. We project that the rapid decline in new cases this year would cease almost immediately and eventually reverse in a summer wave of new cases. The size of that wave depends on the pace of vaccinations earlier in the year, but even with high rates of vaccination, new cases would be twice as high as in the baseline through most of the summer. The surge in cases subsides by October but only temporarily; as in the baseline, cases rise sharply in the last months of 2021 in a final winter wave. Notably, the winter wave would not be meaningfully smaller even though a larger share of the population would have natural immunity due to the rise in infections over the summer. Because that rise in infections occurs at the same time as the peak in the number of vaccinations administered daily, many of those infected over the summer would have obtained immunity from vaccination by the end of the year anyway. Overall, we project an additional 4.2 to 4.6 million cases in 2021 as a result of relaxing social distancing more rapidly.
If social distancing is relaxed more slowly and the contact rate rises only to 45 percent below normal over the course of 2021, we project that new cases would continue declining to below 20 thousand in the summer and remain lower than the baseline through the end of the year. In total, we project around 4.5 million fewer cases in 2021. This estimate is roughly the same irrespective of the assumed pace of vaccination, because the effect of increased social distancing on transmission is greatest in the near-term when most of the population remains vulnerable under any forecast of vaccinations.
Changing the intensity of social distancing would have a negligible impact on the economy in 2021. While some changes in social distancing translate directly into changes in economic activity, two factors largely offset these direct effects. First, the initial change in social distancing is moderated by its eventual impact on the spread of the virus, which feeds back to behavior through the public’s response to infection risk. Second, economic activity is currently much closer to its pre-COVID trend than the contact rate—that is, there is less slack in economic activity than in social activity. This largely reflects the ways in which businesses have adapted their operations to the pandemic over the last year, allowing a substantial share of economic activity to resume despite widespread social distancing. Given the already significant relaxation of distancing projected in all three scenarios, a moderate change in the pace of relaxation may affect the share of business activity conducted in-person but has little impact on the overall level.
This analysis was conducted by Alex Arnon and John Ricco. Directed by Richard Prisinzano. Prepared for the website by Mariko Paulson.
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See surveys from NPR/PBS/Marist, Pew Research, and the Kaiser Family Foundation. ↩
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See our previous brief for a more detailed discussion of PWBM’s baseline projections. ↩
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See the brief and Arnon, Ricco, and Smetters (2020) for a description of the data and procedure used to estimate the contact rate. ↩
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Projections of confirmed cases are based on projections of the total number of infections and the rate at which infections are confirmed by a test. See the brief and Arnon, Ricco, and Smetters (2020) for additional detail. ↩
Date Actual 15% 30% (PWBM Baseline) 45% 2020-02-22 99.42513175 2020-02-23 99.72081589 2020-02-24 100 2020-02-25 100.2434012 2020-02-26 100.5341606 2020-02-27 100.8579516 2020-02-28 101.2301349 2020-02-29 101.5944645 2020-03-01 101.9831747 2020-03-02 102.352496 2020-03-03 102.7702261 2020-03-04 103.1838502 2020-03-05 103.5713088 2020-03-06 103.919266 2020-03-07 104.215459 2020-03-08 104.4403596 2020-03-09 104.5859502 2020-03-10 104.658189 2020-03-11 104.5720797 2020-03-12 104.2676289 2020-03-13 103.5880755 2020-03-14 102.6115379 2020-03-15 101.3949489 2020-03-16 99.92591509 2020-03-17 98.07224689 2020-03-18 95.86627594 2020-03-19 93.25968977 2020-03-20 90.43913979 2020-03-21 87.46695398 2020-03-22 84.38491349 2020-03-23 81.12258283 2020-03-24 77.82838025 2020-03-25 74.44226636 2020-03-26 71.00242117 2020-03-27 67.486816 2020-03-28 63.95395183 2020-03-29 60.46304663 2020-03-30 56.98926229 2020-03-31 53.46081857 2020-04-01 49.94637838 2020-04-02 46.45593862 2020-04-03 43.01037723 2020-04-04 39.57011483 2020-04-05 36.12966759 2020-04-06 32.73228229 2020-04-07 29.37113954 2020-04-08 26.12631062 2020-04-09 23.11634382 2020-04-10 20.40651486 2020-04-11 17.95479089 2020-04-12 15.68134293 2020-04-13 13.68827601 2020-04-14 12.07272401 2020-04-15 10.81509425 2020-04-16 9.891771503 2020-04-17 9.232936278 2020-04-18 8.731766275 2020-04-19 8.365609979 2020-04-20 8.133691231 2020-04-21 7.980094561 2020-04-22 7.879015201 2020-04-23 7.804568259 2020-04-24 7.748164139 2020-04-25 7.718639063 2020-04-26 7.700986368 2020-04-27 7.691417656 2020-04-28 7.69986541 2020-04-29 7.718545247 2020-04-30 7.745339004 2020-05-01 7.777006232 2020-05-02 7.814674262 2020-05-03 7.86433223 2020-05-04 7.918166976 2020-05-05 7.972572914 2020-05-06 8.032271604 2020-05-07 8.101129204 2020-05-08 8.178050384 2020-05-09 8.275575142 2020-05-10 8.405205667 2020-05-11 8.543534071 2020-05-12 8.683416466 2020-05-13 8.828755269 2020-05-14 8.979636206 2020-05-15 9.139399949 2020-05-16 9.307272635 2020-05-17 9.466450412 2020-05-18 9.633321452 2020-05-19 9.81027122 2020-05-20 9.998452051 2020-05-21 10.20067235 2020-05-22 10.42278384 2020-05-23 10.63909886 2020-05-24 10.88375282 2020-05-25 11.11990985 2020-05-26 11.37392442 2020-05-27 11.64065835 2020-05-28 11.90382617 2020-05-29 12.17221866 2020-05-30 12.44872599 2020-05-31 12.70639276 2020-06-01 12.99270216 2020-06-02 13.26746802 2020-06-03 13.5503281 2020-06-04 13.84516602 2020-06-05 14.14392297 2020-06-06 14.43405626 2020-06-07 14.70733759 2020-06-08 14.9967858 2020-06-09 15.31541281 2020-06-10 15.63180497 2020-06-11 15.94613868 2020-06-12 16.27748325 2020-06-13 16.64712734 2020-06-14 17.05522797 2020-06-15 17.45510458 2020-06-16 17.84810217 2020-06-17 18.24858775 2020-06-18 18.65911333 2020-06-19 19.04828844 2020-06-20 19.4508339 2020-06-21 19.83375484 2020-06-22 20.23212224 2020-06-23 20.62588172 2020-06-24 21.01898544 2020-06-25 21.44152394 2020-06-26 21.85118527 2020-06-27 22.22096479 2020-06-28 22.59827359 2020-06-29 22.95842348 2020-06-30 23.34237727 2020-07-01 23.7262401 2020-07-02 24.09965302 2020-07-03 24.45262248 2020-07-04 24.73481306 2020-07-05 25.0028348 2020-07-06 25.2502275 2020-07-07 25.4569322 2020-07-08 25.65541547 2020-07-09 25.8246813 2020-07-10 25.94344082 2020-07-11 26.0746283 2020-07-12 26.17824623 2020-07-13 26.29041199 2020-07-14 26.40775219 2020-07-15 26.50639556 2020-07-16 26.57907177 2020-07-17 26.6872481 2020-07-18 26.79782493 2020-07-19 26.89524341 2020-07-20 26.96926638 2020-07-21 27.01435687 2020-07-22 27.02626655 2020-07-23 27.00546888 2020-07-24 26.99504581 2020-07-25 27.00938765 2020-07-26 27.0261352 2020-07-27 27.02432697 2020-07-28 26.98627792 2020-07-29 26.95093666 2020-07-30 26.91958754 2020-07-31 26.90573374 2020-08-01 26.94945234 2020-08-02 26.98564966 2020-08-03 27.02586503 2020-08-04 27.05974295 2020-08-05 27.09156493 2020-08-06 27.12279574 2020-08-07 27.15387405 2020-08-08 27.11762295 2020-08-09 27.0800129 2020-08-10 27.00981581 2020-08-11 26.95229728 2020-08-12 26.87720107 2020-08-13 26.79836396 2020-08-14 26.70562602 2020-08-15 26.60210289 2020-08-16 26.48840557 2020-08-17 26.39104763 2020-08-18 26.31131173 2020-08-19 26.25733436 2020-08-20 26.24671165 2020-08-21 26.24394077 2020-08-22 26.25598066 2020-08-23 26.30049756 2020-08-24 26.39101701 2020-08-25 26.51626353 2020-08-26 26.64162718 2020-08-27 26.73082376 2020-08-28 26.76954496 2020-08-29 26.79005376 2020-08-30 26.81870375 2020-08-31 26.83470133 2020-09-01 26.86049765 2020-09-02 26.90075687 2020-09-03 26.98420127 2020-09-04 27.1543412 2020-09-05 27.35810335 2020-09-06 27.56202727 2020-09-07 27.75103998 2020-09-08 27.9098775 2020-09-09 28.06199311 2020-09-10 28.1681276 2020-09-11 28.20738284 2020-09-12 28.22048617 2020-09-13 28.21674881 2020-09-14 28.21234201 2020-09-15 28.18923991 2020-09-16 28.15152518 2020-09-17 28.08348247 2020-09-18 28.00930446 2020-09-19 27.93408535 2020-09-20 27.8359423 2020-09-21 27.68071908 2020-09-22 27.51556949 2020-09-23 27.35528128 2020-09-24 27.24353683 2020-09-25 27.20012806 2020-09-26 27.18661764 2020-09-27 27.18835114 2020-09-28 27.22720257 2020-09-29 27.27038886 2020-09-30 27.32204407 2020-10-01 27.38880055 2020-10-02 27.38058268 2020-10-03 27.337325 2020-10-04 27.28041423 2020-10-05 27.21882191 2020-10-06 27.15164792 2020-10-07 27.05761447 2020-10-08 26.95905799 2020-10-09 26.87969367 2020-10-10 26.80893964 2020-10-11 26.76385667 2020-10-12 26.69337566 2020-10-13 26.61917812 2020-10-14 26.57118595 2020-10-15 26.53974576 2020-10-16 26.49076613 2020-10-17 26.44660758 2020-10-18 26.40248269 2020-10-19 26.4163765 2020-10-20 26.44422096 2020-10-21 26.44580007 2020-10-22 26.40563452 2020-10-23 26.37667017 2020-10-24 26.3339227 2020-10-25 26.27054265 2020-10-26 26.16643175 2020-10-27 26.08578764 2020-10-28 25.99559116 2020-10-29 25.85298084 2020-10-30 25.71882383 2020-10-31 25.57835893 2020-11-01 25.41906346 2020-11-02 25.30924482 2020-11-03 25.18871847 2020-11-04 25.08310249 2020-11-05 25.02305427 2020-11-06 24.95838154 2020-11-07 24.89368927 2020-11-08 24.84759865 2020-11-09 24.8184628 2020-11-10 24.80817145 2020-11-11 24.77602973 2020-11-12 24.70886867 2020-11-13 24.65200254 2020-11-14 24.58609456 2020-11-15 24.50192132 2020-11-16 24.36682468 2020-11-17 24.19323045 2020-11-18 24.01625798 2020-11-19 23.87673432 2020-11-20 23.72859589 2020-11-21 23.59147112 2020-11-22 23.4709265 2020-11-23 23.37420064 2020-11-24 23.31389674 2020-11-25 23.30398044 2020-11-26 23.20980406 2020-11-27 23.09793051 2020-11-28 22.98783601 2020-11-29 22.90339865 2020-11-30 22.77236089 2020-12-01 22.62046299 2020-12-02 22.46056388 2020-12-03 22.36929565 2020-12-04 22.28321859 2020-12-05 22.19552072 2020-12-06 22.08556093 2020-12-07 21.99209636 2020-12-08 21.88061196 2020-12-09 21.75989043 2020-12-10 21.64530739 2020-12-11 21.52539965 2020-12-12 21.39417013 2020-12-13 21.26236182 2020-12-14 21.12565342 2020-12-15 21.02272236 2020-12-16 20.91013159 2020-12-17 20.75170831 2020-12-18 20.58843085 2020-12-19 20.44471294 2020-12-20 20.32662111 2020-12-21 20.28638746 2020-12-22 20.29032025 2020-12-23 20.42780189 2020-12-24 20.79536884 2020-12-25 21.05478863 2020-12-26 21.30892667 2020-12-27 21.54873167 2020-12-28 21.78933095 2020-12-29 22.0038839 2020-12-30 22.17585648 2020-12-31 22.23070544 2021-01-01 22.31726671 2021-01-02 22.40629182 2021-01-03 22.46660269 2021-01-04 22.46788194 2021-01-05 22.42851328 2021-01-06 22.34777146 2021-01-07 22.24911388 2021-01-08 22.1899901 2021-01-09 22.11788622 2021-01-10 22.05117802 2021-01-11 21.99593729 2021-01-12 21.93037054 2021-01-13 21.89408905 2021-01-14 21.89535652 2021-01-15 21.88183967 2021-01-16 21.84693354 2021-01-17 21.79071396 2021-01-18 21.64717598 2021-01-19 21.40647406 2021-01-20 20.9575553 2021-01-21 20.3718294 2021-01-22 19.91073048 2021-01-23 19.4629635 2021-01-24 19.01434622 2021-01-25 18.59426586 2021-01-26 18.23170688 2021-01-27 17.94562001 2021-01-28 17.71872311 2021-01-29 17.48284136 2021-01-30 17.26118549 2021-01-31 17.07812331 2021-02-01 16.88943868 2021-02-02 16.73322565 2021-02-03 16.64940831 2021-02-04 16.59304609 2021-02-05 16.50654946 2021-02-06 16.44413534 2021-02-07 16.36448249 2021-02-08 16.33283708 2021-02-09 16.33135241 2021-02-10 16.32830486 2021-02-11 16.31027491 2021-02-12 16.30051656 2021-02-13 16.29251496 2021-02-14 16.32185723 2021-02-15 16.34799071 2021-02-16 16.37666648 2021-02-17 16.429652 2021-02-18 16.45401221 2021-02-19 16.45471293 2021-02-20 16.46445085 2021-02-21 16.48927421 2021-02-22 16.52471653 2021-02-23 16.59621746 2021-02-24 16.70498123 2021-02-25 16.8897977 2021-02-26 17.14085382 2021-02-27 17.32351869 2021-02-28 17.41991043 2021-03-01 17.55332873 2021-03-02 17.67063783 2021-03-03 17.75891582 17.75891582 17.75891582 17.75891582 2021-03-04 17.90577476 17.86816847 17.83470116 2021-03-05 18.07571804 17.99819257 17.92952525 2021-03-06 18.2475228 18.12838964 18.02328167 2021-03-07 18.44821319 18.28575356 18.14304003 2021-03-08 18.61151051 18.40389882 18.22224922 2021-03-09 18.75376373 18.49914637 18.27718027 2021-03-10 18.89439099 18.5910795 18.32734415 2021-03-11 19.04415985 18.69322333 18.38859648 2021-03-12 19.19429418 18.79402247 18.44707094 2021-03-13 19.35175658 18.89990644 18.50857149 2021-03-14 19.47254016 18.96655024 18.52871246 2021-03-15 19.60666556 19.04406538 18.55895542 2021-03-16 19.74500797 19.12358726 18.59050924 2021-03-17 19.88591918 19.20479477 18.62204575 2021-03-18 20.07444585 19.33279254 18.69875557 2021-03-19 20.30076176 19.49756903 18.81052965 2021-03-20 20.531624 19.66559124 18.92449294 2021-03-21 20.76699669 19.83689999 19.04094407 2021-03-22 21.00364532 20.00859119 19.15729999 2021-03-23 21.22117114 20.16045198 19.2532176 2021-03-24 21.41369874 20.28656665 19.32266752 2021-03-25 21.53340053 20.33891289 19.31805355 2021-03-26 21.59512292 20.33235318 19.25433747 2021-03-27 21.72357963 20.39192216 19.25669215 2021-03-28 21.94338997 20.54253639 19.35025278 2021-03-29 22.1848608 20.71480627 19.46559713 2021-03-30 22.46551884 20.92648165 19.6203622 2021-03-31 22.76269309 21.15487368 19.79190518 2021-04-01 23.00221184 21.36352522 19.98457828 2021-04-02 23.22448812 21.55742082 20.17510544 2021-04-03 23.44895834 21.75515024 20.38109089 2021-04-04 23.67634312 21.95718946 20.60252046 2021-04-05 23.90696146 22.16374429 20.83928365 2021-04-06 24.14119918 22.37668821 21.09117889 2021-04-07 24.3801927 22.60495594 21.35861643 2021-04-08 24.62324546 22.84475982 21.6351885 2021-04-09 24.86046097 23.08868665 21.91365252 2021-04-10 25.09397397 23.33877893 22.19503649 2021-04-11 25.32551892 23.59692477 22.48045737 2021-04-12 25.55740696 23.86515349 22.77018912 2021-04-13 25.79201412 24.14540961 23.06590187 2021-04-14 26.03141185 24.43783613 23.36906282 2021-04-15 26.27719796 24.74130432 23.68082486 2021-04-16 26.52971636 25.05508141 24.00133206 2021-04-17 26.79587121 25.38183441 24.33323279 2021-04-18 27.08004365 25.72171492 24.67673209 2021-04-19 27.38291214 26.07509466 25.03205118 2021-04-20 27.70466041 26.44190494 25.39955825 2021-04-21 28.04528841 26.8218339 25.77925515 2021-04-22 28.40472095 27.2146435 26.17084086 2021-04-23 28.78298798 27.62064662 26.57411882 2021-04-24 29.17993789 28.0396903 26.98849544 2021-04-25 29.59524132 28.47245363 27.414192 2021-04-26 30.02757579 28.91895633 27.85114861 2021-04-27 30.47642844 29.37916126 28.29937963 2021-04-28 30.94147206 29.85284075 28.75855739 2021-04-29 31.4224984 30.33939095 29.22078336 2021-04-30 31.91790179 30.83745358 29.68112362 2021-05-01 32.42753963 31.3471275 30.14019461 2021-05-02 32.95034454 31.86775995 30.59786003 2021-05-03 33.48594576 32.39907391 31.05438293 2021-05-04 34.03441674 32.93926408 31.51013237 2021-05-05 34.59517474 33.47941629 31.96480386 2021-05-06 35.16773926 34.01916897 32.41836078 2021-05-07 35.75167433 34.5582763 32.87265779 2021-05-08 36.34632463 35.09662261 33.32924624 2021-05-09 36.9513982 35.63411917 33.78892637 2021-05-10 37.5669607 36.17103255 34.25239843 2021-05-11 38.19293577 36.70747733 34.72003695 2021-05-12 38.82903325 37.24386491 35.19201652 2021-05-13 39.474714 37.78243587 35.66837096 2021-05-14 40.12953289 38.32409808 36.14935524 2021-05-15 40.78853894 38.86873663 36.63446913 2021-05-16 41.44802048 39.41678632 37.12382209 2021-05-17 42.10806922 39.96837568 37.61740756 2021-05-18 42.76907525 40.52396828 38.11540734 2021-05-19 43.4309678 41.08389515 38.61797315 2021-05-20 44.0940425 41.64884275 39.1254115 2021-05-21 44.75856422 42.21884549 39.63813948 2021-05-22 45.42478095 42.79415171 40.15652454 2021-05-23 46.09156969 43.37364243 40.67965961 2021-05-24 46.76058079 43.95760239 41.20776705 2021-05-25 47.43293255 44.54608478 41.74099582 2021-05-26 48.10862106 45.13894795 42.27933844 2021-05-27 48.78711473 45.73608249 42.82274411 2021-05-28 49.46835512 46.3374192 43.37128056 2021-05-29 50.15212304 46.94283899 43.92485981 2021-05-30 50.83871175 47.55258603 44.48362094 2021-05-31 51.52814263 48.16671455 45.04748595 2021-06-01 52.22013481 48.78530199 45.61641429 2021-06-02 52.91422022 49.40822627 46.19024927 2021-06-03 53.61046284 50.03566352 46.76906185 2021-06-04 54.30898726 50.66774091 47.35294423 2021-06-05 55.01012573 51.30474347 47.9420474 2021-06-06 55.71425595 51.94681007 48.53629635 2021-06-07 56.42156187 52.59387501 49.13536969 2021-06-08 57.13232006 53.24598604 49.7390596 2021-06-09 57.84703329 53.90331458 50.34722195 2021-06-10 58.56650969 54.56624828 50.95979391 2021-06-11 59.29146418 55.23509835 51.57669385 2021-06-12 60.02352821 55.91076642 52.19820219 2021-06-13 60.76211777 56.59259098 52.82348609 2021-06-14 61.50699109 57.28015603 53.45182709 2021-06-15 62.25757376 57.97274794 54.08233043 2021-06-16 63.0133344 58.66961224 54.7140414 2021-06-17 63.77339441 59.36969574 55.34580788 2021-06-18 64.53712636 60.07244905 55.9767884 2021-06-19 65.30387646 60.77706179 56.60632723 2021-06-20 66.07580601 61.48428447 57.23512471 2021-06-21 66.85237685 62.19333576 57.86260414 2021-06-22 67.6332286 62.90411264 58.48857625 2021-06-23 68.41844392 63.61665187 59.11295349 2021-06-24 69.20760854 64.33049241 59.73535124 2021-06-25 69.99828943 65.04375777 60.35450608 2021-06-26 70.79066785 65.75638919 60.97020943 2021-06-27 71.58429402 66.46781784 61.5818694 2021-06-28 72.37888739 67.17776444 62.18921081 2021-06-29 73.17402558 67.88565664 62.79169643 2021-06-30 73.96980107 68.59140765 63.38917827 2021-07-01 74.76595831 69.29472203 63.98137304 2021-07-02 75.56202628 69.99516282 64.56793947 2021-07-03 76.35710475 70.69187083 65.14833785 2021-07-04 77.15043847 71.38415936 65.72069415 2021-07-05 77.94077695 72.07103341 66.28441533 2021-07-06 78.72686414 72.7515253 66.83888926 2021-07-07 79.50741127 73.42469339 67.38348138 2021-07-08 80.28073592 74.08939811 67.91757071 2021-07-09 81.04519551 74.74451315 68.44056538 2021-07-10 81.79848106 75.38848441 68.95161537 2021-07-11 82.54015765 76.02099853 69.45062782 2021-07-12 83.26925475 76.64136848 69.93730974 2021-07-13 83.9856666 77.24957718 70.41181907 2021-07-14 84.68924706 77.84563128 70.87439149 2021-07-15 85.37930423 78.42926977 71.32514438 2021-07-16 86.05338611 78.99876231 71.76329339 2021-07-17 86.71162591 79.55407266 72.18888176 2021-07-18 87.35320983 80.09456975 72.60152202 2021-07-19 87.97801127 80.62014639 73.0012151 2021-07-20 88.58483821 81.12990529 73.38743441 2021-07-21 89.17309449 81.62343818 73.76056246 2021-07-22 89.74296666 82.10092507 74.12082983 2021-07-23 90.29664915 82.56389764 74.46916305 2021-07-24 90.8339317 83.01222509 74.80550425 2021-07-25 91.3549335 83.44606829 75.13005642 2021-07-26 91.85927319 83.86520214 75.44275622 2021-07-27 92.34660695 84.26950621 75.74367779 2021-07-28 92.81614417 84.65839102 76.03251095 2021-07-29 93.26722706 85.03135179 76.30898104 2021-07-30 93.69942981 85.38804446 76.57287425 2021-07-31 94.11274666 85.72853063 76.82421562 2021-08-01 94.50693761 86.05265615 77.06436933 2021-08-02 94.88209918 86.36048041 77.29340763 2021-08-03 95.23828061 86.65205838 77.51145045 2021-08-04 95.57566788 86.92738961 77.71858997 2021-08-05 95.89479103 87.1866738 77.91494087 2021-08-06 96.19602958 87.4301695 78.10061686 2021-08-07 96.48016773 87.65840333 78.27592024 2021-08-08 96.74719561 87.87136063 78.44090475 2021-08-09 96.99756161 88.06938324 78.59586982 2021-08-10 97.23115185 88.25245799 78.74084599 2021-08-11 97.44796773 88.42064407 78.87588827 2021-08-12 97.6488596 88.57453059 79.00134113 2021-08-13 97.83632221 88.71575188 79.11820585 2021-08-14 98.01049173 88.84447185 79.2266004 2021-08-15 98.17181849 88.96112225 79.32719534 2021-08-16 98.32051396 89.06595155 79.42046457 2021-08-17 98.45738399 89.15962023 79.50681271 2021-08-18 98.58271976 89.24235708 79.58577095 2021-08-19 98.69682193 89.31453662 79.6573803 2021-08-20 98.79982703 89.37660534 79.72188183 2021-08-21 98.89197444 89.42866051 79.77941145 2021-08-22 98.97345613 89.47087009 79.8300992 2021-08-23 99.04464673 89.50355633 79.87407939 2021-08-24 99.10610839 89.52726899 79.91160091 2021-08-25 99.15856944 89.54271055 79.94306638 2021-08-26 99.20276 89.55059209 79.96890329 2021-08-27 99.23937315 89.55161416 79.98954756 2021-08-28 99.26909332 89.54642905 80.0054365 2021-08-29 99.29256309 89.53571388 80.0170174 2021-08-30 99.31043115 89.5201319 80.02470585 2021-08-31 99.32346518 89.50038333 80.02889199 2021-09-01 99.3322697 89.47717936 80.03003102 2021-09-02 99.33741441 89.45119368 80.02859815 2021-09-03 99.33962676 89.42308709 80.02508079 2021-09-04 99.33961125 89.39350395 80.0199651 2021-09-05 99.33779152 89.3628826 80.01354341 2021-09-06 99.33434806 89.33141862 80.00588081 2021-09-07 99.32943877 89.29925966 79.99700536 2021-09-08 99.32316996 89.26650901 79.98692275 2021-09-09 99.31561869 89.23322912 79.97563452 2021-09-10 99.30680962 89.19946922 79.96313914 2021-09-11 99.2967652 89.16528323 79.94941554 2021-09-12 99.28554362 89.13069264 79.93405723 2021-09-13 99.27320978 89.0956997 79.91669206 2021-09-14 99.25974496 89.0602879 79.89723629 2021-09-15 99.24508722 89.0244158 79.87562303 2021-09-16 99.22913886 88.98789313 79.85179182 2021-09-17 99.2117858 88.95035339 79.82556872 2021-09-18 99.19296149 88.9116951 79.79683791 2021-09-19 99.17303306 88.87179118 79.76552231 2021-09-20 99.15198175 88.83049096 79.73159246 2021-09-21 99.12960728 88.78762272 79.6950338 2021-09-22 99.10569931 88.74299517 79.65579065 2021-09-23 99.08011328 88.69649833 79.61377817 2021-09-24 99.05260928 88.64799118 79.56888881 2021-09-25 99.02294286 88.59727493 79.52099814 2021-09-26 98.99095024 88.54410563 79.46996832 2021-09-27 98.95742154 88.48821028 79.41563714 2021-09-28 98.92286538 88.4292717 79.35784613 2021-09-29 98.88693248 88.36694771 79.29641316 2021-09-30 98.8492957 88.30092154 79.23113455 2021-10-01 98.81014954 88.23088293 79.16178832 2021-10-02 98.76923276 88.15665362 79.0881313 2021-10-03 98.72645491 88.07805619 79.01010236 2021-10-04 98.68196145 87.99511685 78.92784731 2021-10-05 98.63574933 87.90816837 78.84153496 2021-10-06 98.58779596 87.81764322 78.75133951 2021-10-07 98.53816292 87.72362111 78.65742969 2021-10-08 98.48686889 87.62598049 78.55994144 2021-10-09 98.4339287 87.52473575 78.45902415 2021-10-10 98.37941234 87.41994779 78.3548255 2021-10-11 98.32344429 87.31168905 78.2474883 2021-10-12 98.26615504 87.20003225 78.13715035 2021-10-13 98.20769716 87.08505749 78.02392936 2021-10-14 98.14818458 86.96691916 77.90785384 2021-10-15 98.08764825 86.84616335 77.78890718 2021-10-16 98.02582471 86.7229658 77.66711126 2021-10-17 97.96222336 86.59740169 77.54242308 2021-10-18 97.89673853 86.46970413 77.41480066 2021-10-19 97.82930693 86.33978467 77.2842231 2021-10-20 97.75980743 86.2076085 77.1506474 2021-10-21 97.68800899 86.07308717 77.01401943 2021-10-22 97.61376027 85.93607011 76.87427827 2021-10-23 97.53694614 85.7967165 76.7313267 2021-10-24 97.45747186 85.65511983 76.58562784 2021-10-25 97.37410181 85.51120451 76.43746256 2021-10-26 97.28592261 85.36497455 76.28701147 2021-10-27 97.19283969 85.21638602 76.13430278 2021-10-28 97.09471775 85.06538611 75.97925596 2021-10-29 96.99096612 84.91199256 75.82178589 2021-10-30 96.88152349 84.75598423 75.66180622 2021-10-31 96.76633139 84.59731917 75.49922323 2021-11-01 96.64528752 84.43616751 75.33409183 2021-11-02 96.51832042 84.27228842 75.16652311 2021-11-03 96.38526507 84.10520666 74.99654548 2021-11-04 96.24583482 83.9347651 74.82458043 2021-11-05 96.09989474 83.7609882 74.65070973 2021-11-06 95.947607 83.58376696 74.47500841 2021-11-07 95.78877969 83.40312145 74.29777064 2021-11-08 95.62321289 83.2192592 74.1190178 2021-11-09 95.45074293 83.03210253 73.93879718 2021-11-10 95.27122568 82.8415572 73.75726419 2021-11-11 95.08462673 82.64749216 73.57443787 2021-11-12 94.89105728 82.44951123 73.39040596 2021-11-13 94.69073507 82.24749996 73.20549612 2021-11-14 94.48380004 82.04142977 73.01994945 2021-11-15 94.2703097 81.83108161 72.83399151 2021-11-16 94.05040657 81.61654729 72.64778329 2021-11-17 93.82426058 81.39787861 72.46143768 2021-11-18 93.5921055 81.17510982 72.27507357 2021-11-19 93.35423305 80.94832407 72.0888592 2021-11-20 93.11092685 80.71743796 71.90304885 2021-11-21 92.86239616 80.48245434 71.71747278 2021-11-22 92.60904014 80.24361216 71.53206112 2021-11-23 92.35147088 80.00105822 71.34669045 2021-11-24 92.09023151 79.75517146 71.16155579 2021-11-25 91.82584701 79.50617412 70.97713519 2021-11-26 91.55882745 79.25422434 70.79359569 2021-11-27 91.28961778 78.99958758 70.61109706 2021-11-28 91.01870574 78.74254016 70.42979941 2021-11-29 90.74661887 78.48315485 70.24971324 2021-11-30 90.47396995 78.2216202 70.07078102 2021-12-01 90.20147729 77.95827546 69.89300926 2021-12-02 89.9298481 77.69350064 69.71625001 2021-12-03 89.6596523 77.42767279 69.54055427 2021-12-04 89.39115948 77.16113798 69.36595505 2021-12-05 89.12487011 76.89409121 69.19226574 2021-12-06 88.86118929 76.62651149 69.01954534 2021-12-07 88.60052372 76.35867774 68.84782365 2021-12-08 88.34332013 76.09092138 68.67708303 2021-12-09 88.09002177 75.82353885 68.5074752 2021-12-10 87.84106503 75.55670491 68.33902761 2021-12-11 87.5966664 75.29067313 68.17158096 2021-12-12 87.35702982 75.02569636 68.0050956 2021-12-13 87.12241049 74.76204113 67.83953849 2021-12-14 86.89307158 74.50002049 67.67492697 2021-12-15 86.66925947 74.24068763 67.51133689 2021-12-16 86.45114634 73.98423972 67.34883999 2021-12-17 86.23883672 73.73086942 67.18746391 2021-12-18 86.03239801 73.48106885 67.02719278 2021-12-19 85.83190165 73.23540739 66.86786468 2021-12-20 85.63739249 72.99399691 66.70939548 2021-12-21 85.44863734 72.75695742 66.55183253 2021-12-22 85.26548973 72.5242053 66.39505293 2021-12-23 85.08781237 72.2957117 66.23875377 2021-12-24 84.91539331 72.07145294 66.08293772 2021-12-25 84.74798599 71.85139965 65.92761382 2021-12-26 84.58533715 71.63550965 65.772795 2021-12-27 84.42718799 71.42368692 65.61849618 2021-12-28 84.27327569 71.21584515 65.46473796 2021-12-29 84.1233257 71.0118907 65.31155455 2021-12-30 83.977087 70.81171796 65.15874192
VaccinationScenario Date Actual 15% 30% (PWBM Baseline) 45% 2m 2020-02-22 2m 2020-02-23 2m 2020-02-24 2m 2020-02-25 2m 2020-02-26 2m 2020-02-27 2m 2020-02-28 2m 2020-02-29 2m 2020-03-01 2m 2020-03-02 2m 2020-03-03 2m 2020-03-04 2m 2020-03-05 2m 2020-03-06 2m 2020-03-07 2m 2020-03-08 2m 2020-03-09 2m 2020-03-10 2m 2020-03-11 2m 2020-03-12 2m 2020-03-13 2m 2020-03-14 2m 2020-03-15 2m 2020-03-16 2m 2020-03-17 2m 2020-03-18 5.789 2m 2020-03-19 6.914 2m 2020-03-20 8.155 2m 2020-03-21 9.581 2m 2020-03-22 11.21 2m 2020-03-23 12.996 2m 2020-03-24 14.851 2m 2020-03-25 16.696 2m 2020-03-26 18.566 2m 2020-03-27 20.496 2m 2020-03-28 22.444 2m 2020-03-29 24.37 2m 2020-03-30 26.181 2m 2020-03-31 27.824 2m 2020-04-01 29.275 2m 2020-04-02 30.566 2m 2020-04-03 31.678 2m 2020-04-04 32.589 2m 2020-04-05 33.303 2m 2020-04-06 33.805 2m 2020-04-07 34.083 2m 2020-04-08 34.162 2m 2020-04-09 34.083 2m 2020-04-10 33.926 2m 2020-04-11 33.733 2m 2020-04-12 33.536 2m 2020-04-13 33.275 2m 2020-04-14 32.926 2m 2020-04-15 32.586 2m 2020-04-16 32.294 2m 2020-04-17 32.105 2m 2020-04-18 31.976 2m 2020-04-19 31.86 2m 2020-04-20 31.742 2m 2020-04-21 31.639 2m 2020-04-22 31.541 2m 2020-04-23 31.442 2m 2020-04-24 31.336 2m 2020-04-25 31.218 2m 2020-04-26 31.048 2m 2020-04-27 30.825 2m 2020-04-28 30.529 2m 2020-04-29 30.184 2m 2020-04-30 29.786 2m 2020-05-01 29.325 2m 2020-05-02 28.836 2m 2020-05-03 28.31 2m 2020-05-04 27.773 2m 2020-05-05 27.261 2m 2020-05-06 26.779 2m 2020-05-07 26.324 2m 2020-05-08 25.918 2m 2020-05-09 25.553 2m 2020-05-10 25.219 2m 2020-05-11 24.929 2m 2020-05-12 24.683 2m 2020-05-13 24.472 2m 2020-05-14 24.283 2m 2020-05-15 24.097 2m 2020-05-16 23.908 2m 2020-05-17 23.721 2m 2020-05-18 23.567 2m 2020-05-19 23.454 2m 2020-05-20 23.364 2m 2020-05-21 23.289 2m 2020-05-22 23.207 2m 2020-05-23 23.117 2m 2020-05-24 23.023 2m 2020-05-25 22.913 2m 2020-05-26 22.789 2m 2020-05-27 22.66 2m 2020-05-28 22.536 2m 2020-05-29 22.441 2m 2020-05-30 22.365 2m 2020-05-31 22.307 2m 2020-06-01 22.249 2m 2020-06-02 22.162 2m 2020-06-03 22.059 2m 2020-06-04 21.982 2m 2020-06-05 21.948 2m 2020-06-06 21.985 2m 2020-06-07 22.083 2m 2020-06-08 22.205 2m 2020-06-09 22.319 2m 2020-06-10 22.468 2m 2020-06-11 22.699 2m 2020-06-12 23.052 2m 2020-06-13 23.57 2m 2020-06-14 24.251 2m 2020-06-15 25.077 2m 2020-06-16 26.031 2m 2020-06-17 27.09 2m 2020-06-18 28.238 2m 2020-06-19 29.482 2m 2020-06-20 30.863 2m 2020-06-21 32.41 2m 2020-06-22 34.068 2m 2020-06-23 35.752 2m 2020-06-24 37.381 2m 2020-06-25 38.943 2m 2020-06-26 40.494 2m 2020-06-27 42.061 2m 2020-06-28 43.621 2m 2020-06-29 45.154 2m 2020-06-30 46.653 2m 2020-07-01 48.117 2m 2020-07-02 49.593 2m 2020-07-03 51.061 2m 2020-07-04 52.508 2m 2020-07-05 53.912 2m 2020-07-06 55.256 2m 2020-07-07 56.606 2m 2020-07-08 58.007 2m 2020-07-09 59.4 2m 2020-07-10 60.741 2m 2020-07-11 61.957 2m 2020-07-12 63.011 2m 2020-07-13 63.905 2m 2020-07-14 64.69 2m 2020-07-15 65.393 2m 2020-07-16 66.039 2m 2020-07-17 66.596 2m 2020-07-18 67.029 2m 2020-07-19 67.244 2m 2020-07-20 67.205 2m 2020-07-21 66.973 2m 2020-07-22 66.601 2m 2020-07-23 66.146 2m 2020-07-24 65.632 2m 2020-07-25 65.018 2m 2020-07-26 64.29 2m 2020-07-27 63.51 2m 2020-07-28 62.669 2m 2020-07-29 61.765 2m 2020-07-30 60.819 2m 2020-07-31 59.86 2m 2020-08-01 58.935 2m 2020-08-02 58.039 2m 2020-08-03 57.212 2m 2020-08-04 56.42 2m 2020-08-05 55.622 2m 2020-08-06 54.812 2m 2020-08-07 54.015 2m 2020-08-08 53.205 2m 2020-08-09 52.409 2m 2020-08-10 51.661 2m 2020-08-11 50.916 2m 2020-08-12 50.166 2m 2020-08-13 49.435 2m 2020-08-14 48.696 2m 2020-08-15 47.927 2m 2020-08-16 47.116 2m 2020-08-17 46.269 2m 2020-08-18 45.419 2m 2020-08-19 44.602 2m 2020-08-20 43.879 2m 2020-08-21 43.326 2m 2020-08-22 42.947 2m 2020-08-23 42.676 2m 2020-08-24 42.437 2m 2020-08-25 42.167 2m 2020-08-26 41.869 2m 2020-08-27 41.55 2m 2020-08-28 41.233 2m 2020-08-29 40.917 2m 2020-08-30 40.587 2m 2020-08-31 40.191 2m 2020-09-01 39.727 2m 2020-09-02 39.233 2m 2020-09-03 38.74 2m 2020-09-04 38.291 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2021-07-29 65.96504456 34.35247976 17.00740919 4m 2021-07-30 65.80160646 34.42008233 16.98872462 4m 2021-07-31 65.60207035 34.47879515 16.96946055 4m 2021-08-01 65.36886014 34.52938131 16.94897875 4m 2021-08-02 65.09413831 34.5671356 16.92480786 4m 2021-08-03 64.76662043 34.58536357 16.89379318 4m 2021-08-04 64.38189078 34.58081751 16.85451627 4m 2021-08-05 63.93885584 34.55168652 16.80632284 4m 2021-08-06 63.44039377 34.4982372 16.74945795 4m 2021-08-07 62.89150279 34.4218624 16.68465383 4m 2021-08-08 62.29953226 34.32473951 16.61294906 4m 2021-08-09 61.67366179 34.20966912 16.5356208 4m 2021-08-10 61.02141097 34.0800747 16.45417213 4m 2021-08-11 60.35069055 33.93994382 16.37030669 4m 2021-08-12 59.67022442 33.79366607 16.28590823 4m 2021-08-13 58.9891901 33.6459311 16.2029909 4m 2021-08-14 58.30449442 33.4944949 16.12040584 4m 2021-08-15 57.60669757 33.33335465 16.03536418 4m 2021-08-16 56.89470167 33.16120187 15.94725547 4m 2021-08-17 56.17074346 32.97878986 15.85637652 4m 2021-08-18 55.43966493 32.78773015 15.76340347 4m 2021-08-19 54.70530572 32.59001934 15.66920394 4m 2021-08-20 53.97199565 32.38786055 15.57470939 4m 2021-08-21 53.24481245 32.1835849 15.48091325 4m 2021-08-22 52.52854044 31.97973142 15.38891009 4m 2021-08-23 51.82743108 31.77902877 15.30379254 4m 2021-08-24 51.14592111 31.58426286 15.22554451 4m 2021-08-25 50.48763361 31.39772033 15.15406203 4m 2021-08-26 49.85527684 31.22040776 15.08922776 4m 2021-08-27 49.24916143 31.05273179 15.03101406 4m 2021-08-28 48.66865638 30.89478302 14.97930958 4m 2021-08-29 48.11356499 30.74817905 14.93396557 4m 2021-08-30 47.58319781 30.61384067 14.8948001 4m 2021-08-31 47.07685375 30.49023391 14.86115035 4m 2021-09-01 46.5940318 30.37641036 14.83262129 4m 2021-09-02 46.13367002 30.27167057 14.80893133 4m 2021-09-03 45.69413835 30.17537531 14.78982171 4m 2021-09-04 45.27403831 30.08688454 14.7749903 4m 2021-09-05 44.87206346 30.00554275 14.76412211 4m 2021-09-06 44.49211917 29.93403181 14.75850126 4m 2021-09-07 44.14017193 29.87647766 14.76005829 4m 2021-09-08 43.8179696 29.83478801 14.76957624 4m 2021-09-09 43.52552988 29.80976394 14.78735595 4m 2021-09-10 43.26233998 29.80118791 14.81348531 4m 2021-09-11 43.02814314 29.80879202 14.84794384 4m 2021-09-12 42.8215709 29.83224926 14.89066974 4m 2021-09-13 42.63990733 29.87015319 14.94102677 4m 2021-09-14 42.47951946 29.92032726 14.99791915 4m 2021-09-15 42.33751384 29.98101324 15.0604343 4m 2021-09-16 42.21179768 30.0505448 15.12775507 4m 2021-09-17 42.10238565 30.12912572 15.19997703 4m 2021-09-18 42.01138156 30.21834786 15.2778501 4m 2021-09-19 41.93958405 30.31887617 15.36165695 4m 2021-09-20 41.88689587 30.4310355 15.45160227 4m 2021-09-21 41.8530807 30.55503183 15.5478788 4m 2021-09-22 41.83791529 30.69109862 15.65067541 4m 2021-09-23 41.84163921 30.83944504 15.76022055 4m 2021-09-24 41.86480504 31.00028645 15.87678972 4m 2021-09-25 41.90869773 31.17379144 16.00060012 4m 2021-09-26 41.97214314 31.3600431 16.13175103 4m 2021-09-27 42.05478022 31.55906075 16.27043697 4m 2021-09-28 42.15744835 31.77089533 16.41683998 4m 2021-09-29 42.27856414 31.99440888 16.57051979 4m 2021-09-30 42.42093011 32.22823566 16.73095606 4m 2021-10-01 42.58858506 32.47229203 16.89828268 4m 2021-10-02 42.77629949 32.72979061 17.07291522 4m 2021-10-03 42.98627735 33.00285138 17.25542456 4m 2021-10-04 43.21859532 33.29055031 17.44629454 4m 2021-10-05 43.47336487 33.59293583 17.64632016 4m 2021-10-06 43.75187266 33.91082411 17.8563607 4m 2021-10-07 44.06224429 34.24550142 18.07750711 4m 2021-10-08 44.40903138 34.59872792 18.31067345 4m 2021-10-09 44.78933116 34.97464009 18.55694829 4m 2021-10-10 45.20032864 35.37088787 18.81622232 4m 2021-10-11 45.63763174 35.7844582 19.08760447 4m 2021-10-12 46.10045503 36.21500826 19.37127019 4m 2021-10-13 46.58938356 36.66508525 19.66775512 4m 2021-10-14 47.10605799 37.13912268 19.97780291 4m 2021-10-15 47.65389464 37.63622101 20.30231309 4m 2021-10-16 48.23340183 38.15612619 20.64225937 4m 2021-10-17 48.84640135 38.69951411 20.99867865 4m 2021-10-18 49.49531704 39.26770046 21.37273228 4m 2021-10-19 50.18297329 39.86247794 21.76581052 4m 2021-10-20 50.91236568 40.4857137 22.17938482 4m 2021-10-21 51.6875141 41.13951818 22.61475508 4m 2021-10-22 52.51559955 41.83451872 23.07452391 4m 2021-10-23 53.40034435 42.58331358 23.56102889 4m 2021-10-24 54.34322266 43.38175715 24.07537486 4m 2021-10-25 55.34556572 44.22872805 24.61812786 4m 2021-10-26 56.40770902 45.12783709 25.18955242 4m 2021-10-27 57.52797115 46.07826019 25.78934919 4m 2021-10-28 58.70443085 47.07985322 26.41725737 4m 2021-10-29 59.93456587 48.13025328 27.07268001 4m 2021-10-30 61.21508754 49.22897706 27.75447802 4m 2021-10-31 62.54212086 50.37523781 28.46093554 4m 2021-11-01 63.91093559 51.56531171 29.19676303 4m 2021-11-02 65.33830507 52.81505327 29.97148369 4m 2021-11-03 66.85154 54.14381199 30.79320044 4m 2021-11-04 68.458417 55.55789691 31.66417744 4m 2021-11-05 70.15871269 57.05968758 32.58464941 4m 2021-11-06 71.94956617 58.6498519 33.55351124 4m 2021-11-07 73.82434739 60.32787992 34.56862144 4m 2021-11-08 75.7724782 62.09317651 35.62668607 4m 2021-11-09 77.78114362 63.93429712 36.72614377 4m 2021-11-10 79.83649489 65.84086708 37.86887793 4m 2021-11-11 81.92146523 67.8007892 39.04427371 4m 2021-11-12 84.01118206 69.79879676 40.24111453 4m 2021-11-13 86.07830888 71.81705088 41.46968914 4m 2021-11-14 88.12576091 73.85943768 42.72754478 4m 2021-11-15 90.1750474 75.94768675 44.04237155 4m 2021-11-16 92.2252932 78.08705584 45.40812837 4m 2021-11-17 94.26747293 80.26943257 46.81770872 4m 2021-11-18 96.28715507 82.48480311 48.27117572 4m 2021-11-19 98.26770407 84.72290585 49.76571714 4m 2021-11-20 100.1908403 86.97094845 51.2978775 4m 2021-11-21 102.0373162 89.21268156 52.8626268 4m 2021-11-22 103.7849028 91.4297395 54.4493074 4m 2021-11-23 105.4101995 93.60185404 56.05316302 4m 2021-11-24 106.888722 95.70673129 57.66368382 4m 2021-11-25 108.1838639 97.7094794 59.26570339 4m 2021-11-26 109.262214 99.57674387 60.83912458 4m 2021-11-27 110.109766 101.2933708 62.3713554 4m 2021-11-28 110.7225371 102.8482344 63.85512454 4m 2021-11-29 111.1021579 104.2339267 65.28693115 4m 2021-11-30 111.2563321 105.447596 66.66216636 4m 2021-12-01 111.19787 106.4906726 67.98036611 4m 2021-12-02 110.9422783 107.373955 69.24906197 4m 2021-12-03 110.5102384 108.1073176 70.47704165 4m 2021-12-04 109.9277563 108.703828 71.66698896 4m 2021-12-05 109.2206675 109.1812237 72.82960583 4m 2021-12-06 108.4174398 109.5608175 73.97353234 4m 2021-12-07 107.5068227 109.8271053 75.08413859 4m 2021-12-08 106.4576736 109.9428876 76.13268311 4m 2021-12-09 105.2680619 109.8989432 77.10897937 4m 2021-12-10 103.9479595 109.6988318 78.01010018 4m 2021-12-11 102.514112 109.3516343 78.83615922 4m 2021-12-12 100.9860972 108.8695628 79.58948157 4m 2021-12-13 99.37971673 108.2669703 80.27453807 4m 2021-12-14 97.71257424 107.5597382 80.89731669 4m 2021-12-15 96.00280953 106.7648428 81.46671282 4m 2021-12-16 94.26854593 105.8999618 81.99310728 4m 2021-12-17 92.5275875 104.98314 82.48683656 4m 2021-12-18 90.77952938 104.0135807 82.94181328 4m 2021-12-19 89.01405373 102.9794544 83.34378434 4m 2021-12-20 87.2313723 101.8803068 83.68824713 4m 2021-12-21 85.43542582 100.7200832 83.97424113 4m 2021-12-22 83.63184994 99.50509708 84.20285701 4m 2021-12-23 81.82692133 98.24280294 84.37631742 4m 2021-12-24 80.02665469 96.94586516 84.49708267 4m 2021-12-25 78.236598 95.61829143 84.56807882 4m 2021-12-26 76.46183499 94.2653639 84.5925362 4m 2021-12-27 74.70700085 92.89785907 84.57391176 4m 2021-12-28 72.97635838 91.52007775 84.51585666 4m 2021-12-29 71.2732311 90.13522665 84.4216154 4m 2021-12-30 69.59947623 88.74587183 84.2931342
Date Actual 60% 75% (PWBM Baseline) 100% 2021-01-01 0 2021-01-02 0 2021-01-03 0 2021-01-04 0 2021-01-05 0.000201312 2021-01-06 0.000421126 2021-01-07 0.000662624 2021-01-08 0.000928849 2021-01-09 0.001222706 2021-01-10 0.001547073 2021-01-11 0.001905001 2021-01-12 0.002299708 2021-01-13 0.002734583 2021-01-14 0.003213182 2021-01-15 0.003739067 2021-01-16 0.004315675 2021-01-17 0.004946413 2021-01-18 0.005634658 2021-01-19 0.006383756 2021-01-20 0.007196492 2021-01-21 0.008075416 2021-01-22 0.009023535 2021-01-23 0.010044315 2021-01-24 0.011141679 2021-01-25 0.012321689 2021-01-26 0.013590929 2021-01-27 0.014953547 2021-01-28 0.01641263 2021-01-29 0.017968859 2021-01-30 0.019616053 2021-01-31 0.021359173 2021-02-01 0.023207342 2021-02-02 0.02516586 2021-02-03 0.02722771 2021-02-04 0.029390169 2021-02-05 0.031645364 2021-02-06 0.033998316 2021-02-07 0.036460149 2021-02-08 0.039018999 2021-02-09 0.041642693 2021-02-10 0.044330045 2021-02-11 0.047062481 2021-02-12 0.049846832 2021-02-13 0.05268003 2021-02-14 0.055565759 2021-02-15 0.058441117 2021-02-16 0.061355004 2021-02-17 0.064301121 2021-02-18 0.067275395 2021-02-19 0.070276499 2021-02-20 0.073304464 2021-02-21 0.076365187 2021-02-22 0.079463401 2021-02-23 0.082596208 2021-02-24 0.085752714 2021-02-25 0.088909221 2021-02-26 0.092075649 2021-02-27 0.095239451 2021-02-28 0.098406348 2021-03-01 0.101567621 2021-03-02 0.104716352 2021-03-03 0.107825199 0.107825199 0.107825199 0.107825199 2021-03-04 0.110856725 0.110856725 0.110856725 2021-03-05 0.113777524 0.113777524 0.113777524 2021-03-06 0.116576984 0.116576984 0.116576984 2021-03-07 0.119259148 0.119259148 0.119259148 2021-03-08 0.121847032 0.121847032 0.121847032 2021-03-09 0.124336311 0.124336311 0.124336311 2021-03-10 0.126717683 0.126717683 0.126717683 2021-03-11 0.128978747 0.128978747 0.128978747 2021-03-12 0.131150757 0.131150757 0.131150757 2021-03-13 0.13324871 0.13324871 0.13324871 2021-03-14 0.135304983 0.135304983 0.135304983 2021-03-15 0.137317715 0.137317715 0.137317715 2021-03-16 0.139307598 0.139307598 0.139307598 2021-03-17 0.141280548 0.141280548 0.141280548 2021-03-18 0.143247341 0.143247341 0.143247341 2021-03-19 0.145274716 0.145274716 0.145274716 2021-03-20 0.147386049 0.147386049 0.147386049 2021-03-21 0.149586399 0.149586399 0.149586399 2021-03-22 0.15190953 0.15190953 0.15190953 2021-03-23 0.154360977 0.154360977 0.154360977 2021-03-24 0.156963927 0.156963927 0.156963927 2021-03-25 0.159745557 0.159745557 0.159745557 2021-03-26 0.162728133 0.162728133 0.162728133 2021-03-27 0.165920785 0.165920785 0.165920785 2021-03-28 0.169338167 0.169338167 0.169338167 2021-03-29 0.172760358 0.172760358 0.172760358 2021-03-30 0.176223011 0.176223011 0.176223011 2021-03-31 0.179705604 0.179705604 0.179705604 2021-04-01 0.18321961 0.18321961 0.18321961 2021-04-02 0.186770213 0.186770213 0.186770213 2021-04-03 0.190353816 0.190353816 0.190353816 2021-04-04 0.193987582 0.193987582 0.193987582 2021-04-05 0.197666942 0.197666942 0.197666942 2021-04-06 0.201438747 0.201438747 0.201438747 2021-04-07 0.205314312 0.205314312 0.205314312 2021-04-08 0.209350384 0.209350384 0.209350384 2021-04-09 0.213531194 0.213531194 0.213531194 2021-04-10 0.217877876 0.217877876 0.217877876 2021-04-11 0.222428374 0.222428374 0.222428374 2021-04-12 0.227115183 0.227115183 0.227115183 2021-04-13 0.231971113 0.231971113 0.231971113 2021-04-14 0.236947319 0.236947319 0.236947319 2021-04-15 0.242059799 0.242059799 0.242059799 2021-04-16 0.247217362 0.247217362 0.247217362 2021-04-17 0.252424519 0.252424519 0.252424519 2021-04-18 0.257641301 0.257641301 0.257641301 2021-04-19 0.262854506 0.262854506 0.262854506 2021-04-20 0.26800544 0.26800544 0.26800544 2021-04-21 0.273037566 0.273037566 0.273037566 2021-04-22 0.277919857 0.277919857 0.277919857 2021-04-23 0.28259422 0.28259422 0.28259422 2021-04-24 0.287063972 0.287063972 0.287063972 2021-04-25 0.291212825 0.291212825 0.291212825 2021-04-26 0.295386227 0.295386227 0.295386227 2021-04-27 0.299547216 0.299547216 0.299547216 2021-04-28 0.303715066 0.303715066 0.303715066 2021-04-29 0.307877111 0.307877111 0.307877111 2021-04-30 0.312027027 0.312027027 0.312027027 2021-05-01 0.316167321 0.316167321 0.316167321 2021-05-02 0.320279791 0.320279791 0.320279791 2021-05-03 0.32436801 0.32436801 0.32436801 2021-05-04 0.328384179 0.328384179 0.328384179 2021-05-05 0.332316073 0.332316073 0.332316073 2021-05-06 0.336106078 0.336106078 0.336106078 2021-05-07 0.339769135 0.339769135 0.339769135 2021-05-08 0.343283317 0.343283317 0.343283317 2021-05-09 0.346609924 0.346609924 0.346609924 2021-05-10 0.349815738 0.349815738 0.349815738 2021-05-11 0.352867259 0.352867259 0.352867259 2021-05-12 0.355809035 0.35581267 0.35581267 2021-05-13 0.358620817 0.358635344 0.358635344 2021-05-14 0.361401157 0.361425869 0.361425869 2021-05-15 0.364145759 0.364179157 0.364179157 2021-05-16 0.366893425 0.36693463 0.36693463 2021-05-17 0.369668261 0.369714203 0.369714203 2021-05-18 0.372485324 0.372563127 0.372563127 2021-05-19 0.375426892 0.375535618 0.375535618 2021-05-20 0.378524617 0.378667785 0.378667785 2021-05-21 0.381830833 0.382017284 0.382017284 2021-05-22 0.385350427 0.385580379 0.385580379 2021-05-23 0.389187858 0.389473204 0.389473204 2021-05-24 0.3929751 0.393349437 0.393349437 2021-05-25 0.396781779 0.397245921 0.397245921 2021-05-26 0.400543158 0.401143031 0.401143031 2021-05-27 0.404128809 0.405053103 0.405053103 2021-05-28 0.407687389 0.408982141 0.408982141 2021-05-29 0.411261175 0.412927332 0.412927332 2021-05-30 0.414841034 0.41690659 0.41690659 2021-05-31 0.418222545 0.420916062 0.420916062 2021-06-01 0.421496737 0.425003284 0.425003284 2021-06-02 0.424534055 0.429180225 0.429180225 2021-06-03 0.426981852 0.433504256 0.433504256 2021-06-04 0.429079132 0.437960207 0.437960207 2021-06-05 0.431063733 0.442569783 0.442569783 2021-06-06 0.432598101 0.447371471 0.447371471 2021-06-07 0.433617314 0.452298289 0.452298289 2021-06-08 0.434189524 0.457383542 0.457383542 2021-06-09 0.43460244 0.462578864 0.462578864 2021-06-10 0.435023592 0.467900706 0.467900706 2021-06-11 0.435400056 0.473258311 0.473258311 2021-06-12 0.435599531 0.478653659 0.478656605 2021-06-13 0.435748255 0.484022046 0.484056014 2021-06-14 0.435909095 0.489343954 0.489434476 2021-06-15 0.436080543 0.494558528 0.494746598 2021-06-16 0.43627079 0.499641578 0.499938033 2021-06-17 0.436470803 0.504568323 0.50497254 2021-06-18 0.436532374 0.509197968 0.509792344 2021-06-19 0.436532374 0.51353949 0.514401061 2021-06-20 0.436532374 0.517497348 0.518682448 2021-06-21 0.436532374 0.521331159 0.522982719 2021-06-22 0.436532374 0.524856949 0.52726493 2021-06-23 0.436532374 0.528269005 0.531548605 2021-06-24 0.436532374 0.531553261 0.535821319 2021-06-25 0.436532374 0.5345816 0.540076978 2021-06-26 0.436532374 0.537226191 0.544318308 2021-06-27 0.436532374 0.539653087 0.548527315 2021-06-28 0.436532374 0.541277279 0.552707775 2021-06-29 0.436532374 0.542698063 0.556812078 2021-06-30 0.436532374 0.543473742 0.560828183 2021-07-01 0.436532374 0.543977173 0.564698651 2021-07-02 0.436532374 0.544258072 0.568438588 2021-07-03 0.436532374 0.544477015 0.572026228 2021-07-04 0.436532374 0.54469248 0.575423023 2021-07-05 0.436532374 0.544866627 0.5786959 2021-07-06 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.581811499 2021-07-07 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.584818136 2021-07-08 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.58769931 2021-07-09 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.590545731 2021-07-10 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.593352427 2021-07-11 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.59615893 2021-07-12 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.598987261 2021-07-13 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.601882774 2021-07-14 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.604899779 2021-07-15 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.608074479 2021-07-16 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.611464617 2021-07-17 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.615066542 2021-07-18 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.618996469 2021-07-19 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.622908152 2021-07-20 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.626838507 2021-07-21 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.630767982 2021-07-22 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.634708977 2021-07-23 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.638667562 2021-07-24 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.642640984 2021-07-25 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.646642968 2021-07-26 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.650650784 2021-07-27 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.654736843 2021-07-28 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.658913064 2021-07-29 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.663236564 2021-07-30 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.667681337 2021-07-31 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.672277113 2021-08-01 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.677038764 2021-08-02 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.681864114 2021-08-03 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.686770984 2021-08-04 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.691645244 2021-08-05 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.696397201 2021-08-06 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.700843755 2021-08-07 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.704688227 2021-08-08 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.708380014 2021-08-09 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.71190038 2021-08-10 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.71489534 2021-08-11 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.717733307 2021-08-12 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.720315275 2021-08-13 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.721893845 2021-08-14 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.722858445 2021-08-15 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.723606748 2021-08-16 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.724238393 2021-08-17 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.724689323 2021-08-18 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.724958929 2021-08-19 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725168537 2021-08-20 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725370362 2021-08-21 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.72556114 2021-08-22 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-08-23 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-08-24 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-08-25 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-08-26 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-08-27 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-08-28 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-08-29 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-08-30 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-08-31 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-01 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-02 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-03 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-04 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-05 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-06 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-07 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-08 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-09 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-10 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-11 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-12 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-13 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-14 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-15 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-16 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-17 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-18 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-19 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-20 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-21 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-22 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-23 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-24 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-25 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-26 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-27 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-28 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-29 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-09-30 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-01 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-02 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-03 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-04 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-05 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-06 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-07 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-08 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-09 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-10 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-11 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-12 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-13 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-14 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-15 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-16 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-17 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-18 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-19 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-20 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-21 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-22 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-23 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-24 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-25 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-26 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-27 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-28 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-29 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-30 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-10-31 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-01 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-02 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-03 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-04 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-05 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-06 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-07 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-08 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-09 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-10 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-11 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-12 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-13 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-14 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-15 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-16 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-17 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-18 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-19 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-20 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-21 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-22 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-23 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-24 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-25 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-26 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-27 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-28 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-29 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-11-30 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-01 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-02 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-03 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-04 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-05 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-06 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-07 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-08 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-09 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-10 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-11 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-12 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-13 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-14 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-15 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-16 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-17 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-18 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-19 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-20 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-21 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-22 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-23 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-24 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-25 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-26 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-27 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-28 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-29 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-30 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706 2021-12-31 0.436532374 0.544922873 0.725573706
VaccinationScenario Date Actual 60% 75% (PWBM Baseline) 100% 2m 2020-01-20 2m 2020-01-21 2m 2020-01-22 2m 2020-01-23 2m 2020-01-24 2m 2020-01-25 2m 2020-01-26 2m 2020-01-27 2m 2020-01-28 2m 2020-01-29 2m 2020-01-30 2m 2020-01-31 2m 2020-02-01 2m 2020-02-02 2m 2020-02-03 2m 2020-02-04 2m 2020-02-05 2m 2020-02-06 2m 2020-02-07 2m 2020-02-08 2m 2020-02-09 2m 2020-02-10 2m 2020-02-11 2m 2020-02-12 2m 2020-02-13 2m 2020-02-14 2m 2020-02-15 2m 2020-02-16 2m 2020-02-17 2m 2020-02-18 2m 2020-02-19 2m 2020-02-20 2m 2020-02-21 2m 2020-02-22 2m 2020-02-23 2m 2020-02-24 2m 2020-02-25 2m 2020-02-26 2m 2020-02-27 2m 2020-02-28 2m 2020-02-29 2m 2020-03-01 2m 2020-03-02 2m 2020-03-03 2m 2020-03-04 2m 2020-03-05 2m 2020-03-06 2m 2020-03-07 2m 2020-03-08 2m 2020-03-09 2m 2020-03-10 2m 2020-03-11 2m 2020-03-12 2m 2020-03-13 2m 2020-03-14 2m 2020-03-15 2m 2020-03-16 2m 2020-03-17 2m 2020-03-18 5.789 2m 2020-03-19 6.914 2m 2020-03-20 8.155 2m 2020-03-21 9.581 2m 2020-03-22 11.21 2m 2020-03-23 12.996 2m 2020-03-24 14.851 2m 2020-03-25 16.696 2m 2020-03-26 18.566 2m 2020-03-27 20.496 2m 2020-03-28 22.444 2m 2020-03-29 24.37 2m 2020-03-30 26.181 2m 2020-03-31 27.824 2m 2020-04-01 29.275 2m 2020-04-02 30.566 2m 2020-04-03 31.678 2m 2020-04-04 32.589 2m 2020-04-05 33.303 2m 2020-04-06 33.805 2m 2020-04-07 34.083 2m 2020-04-08 34.162 2m 2020-04-09 34.083 2m 2020-04-10 33.926 2m 2020-04-11 33.733 2m 2020-04-12 33.536 2m 2020-04-13 33.275 2m 2020-04-14 32.926 2m 2020-04-15 32.586 2m 2020-04-16 32.294 2m 2020-04-17 32.105 2m 2020-04-18 31.976 2m 2020-04-19 31.86 2m 2020-04-20 31.742 2m 2020-04-21 31.639 2m 2020-04-22 31.541 2m 2020-04-23 31.442 2m 2020-04-24 31.336 2m 2020-04-25 31.218 2m 2020-04-26 31.048 2m 2020-04-27 30.825 2m 2020-04-28 30.529 2m 2020-04-29 30.184 2m 2020-04-30 29.786 2m 2020-05-01 29.325 2m 2020-05-02 28.836 2m 2020-05-03 28.31 2m 2020-05-04 27.773 2m 2020-05-05 27.261 2m 2020-05-06 26.779 2m 2020-05-07 26.324 2m 2020-05-08 25.918 2m 2020-05-09 25.553 2m 2020-05-10 25.219 2m 2020-05-11 24.929 2m 2020-05-12 24.683 2m 2020-05-13 24.472 2m 2020-05-14 24.283 2m 2020-05-15 24.097 2m 2020-05-16 23.908 2m 2020-05-17 23.721 2m 2020-05-18 23.567 2m 2020-05-19 23.454 2m 2020-05-20 23.364 2m 2020-05-21 23.289 2m 2020-05-22 23.207 2m 2020-05-23 23.117 2m 2020-05-24 23.023 2m 2020-05-25 22.913 2m 2020-05-26 22.789 2m 2020-05-27 22.66 2m 2020-05-28 22.536 2m 2020-05-29 22.441 2m 2020-05-30 22.365 2m 2020-05-31 22.307 2m 2020-06-01 22.249 2m 2020-06-02 22.162 2m 2020-06-03 22.059 2m 2020-06-04 21.982 2m 2020-06-05 21.948 2m 2020-06-06 21.985 2m 2020-06-07 22.083 2m 2020-06-08 22.205 2m 2020-06-09 22.319 2m 2020-06-10 22.468 2m 2020-06-11 22.699 2m 2020-06-12 23.052 2m 2020-06-13 23.57 2m 2020-06-14 24.251 2m 2020-06-15 25.077 2m 2020-06-16 26.031 2m 2020-06-17 27.09 2m 2020-06-18 28.238 2m 2020-06-19 29.482 2m 2020-06-20 30.863 2m 2020-06-21 32.41 2m 2020-06-22 34.068 2m 2020-06-23 35.752 2m 2020-06-24 37.381 2m 2020-06-25 38.943 2m 2020-06-26 40.494 2m 2020-06-27 42.061 2m 2020-06-28 43.621 2m 2020-06-29 45.154 2m 2020-06-30 46.653 2m 2020-07-01 48.117 2m 2020-07-02 49.593 2m 2020-07-03 51.061 2m 2020-07-04 52.508 2m 2020-07-05 53.912 2m 2020-07-06 55.256 2m 2020-07-07 56.606 2m 2020-07-08 58.007 2m 2020-07-09 59.4 2m 2020-07-10 60.741 2m 2020-07-11 61.957 2m 2020-07-12 63.011 2m 2020-07-13 63.905 2m 2020-07-14 64.69 2m 2020-07-15 65.393 2m 2020-07-16 66.039 2m 2020-07-17 66.596 2m 2020-07-18 67.029 2m 2020-07-19 67.244 2m 2020-07-20 67.205 2m 2020-07-21 66.973 2m 2020-07-22 66.601 2m 2020-07-23 66.146 2m 2020-07-24 65.632 2m 2020-07-25 65.018 2m 2020-07-26 64.29 2m 2020-07-27 63.51 2m 2020-07-28 62.669 2m 2020-07-29 61.765 2m 2020-07-30 60.819 2m 2020-07-31 59.86 2m 2020-08-01 58.935 2m 2020-08-02 58.039 2m 2020-08-03 57.212 2m 2020-08-04 56.42 2m 2020-08-05 55.622 2m 2020-08-06 54.812 2m 2020-08-07 54.015 2m 2020-08-08 53.205 2m 2020-08-09 52.409 2m 2020-08-10 51.661 2m 2020-08-11 50.916 2m 2020-08-12 50.166 2m 2020-08-13 49.435 2m 2020-08-14 48.696 2m 2020-08-15 47.927 2m 2020-08-16 47.116 2m 2020-08-17 46.269 2m 2020-08-18 45.419 2m 2020-08-19 44.602 2m 2020-08-20 43.879 2m 2020-08-21 43.326 2m 2020-08-22 42.947 2m 2020-08-23 42.676 2m 2020-08-24 42.437 2m 2020-08-25 42.167 2m 2020-08-26 41.869 2m 2020-08-27 41.55 2m 2020-08-28 41.233 2m 2020-08-29 40.917 2m 2020-08-30 40.587 2m 2020-08-31 40.191 2m 2020-09-01 39.727 2m 2020-09-02 39.233 2m 2020-09-03 38.74 2m 2020-09-04 38.291 2m 2020-09-05 37.936 2m 2020-09-06 37.685 2m 2020-09-07 37.505 2m 2020-09-08 37.395 2m 2020-09-09 37.357 2m 2020-09-10 37.417 2m 2020-09-11 37.581 2m 2020-09-12 37.917 2m 2020-09-13 38.419 2m 2020-09-14 39.046 2m 2020-09-15 39.717 2m 2020-09-16 40.372 2m 2020-09-17 40.947 2m 2020-09-18 41.467 2m 2020-09-19 41.959 2m 2020-09-20 42.396 2m 2020-09-21 42.744 2m 2020-09-22 42.979 2m 2020-09-23 43.1 2m 2020-09-24 43.14 2m 2020-09-25 43.116 2m 2020-09-26 43.124 2m 2020-09-27 43.227 2m 2020-09-28 43.44 2m 2020-09-29 43.775 2m 2020-09-30 44.161 2m 2020-10-01 44.536 2m 2020-10-02 44.948 2m 2020-10-03 45.415 2m 2020-10-04 45.985 2m 2020-10-05 46.674 2m 2020-10-06 47.475 2m 2020-10-07 48.351 2m 2020-10-08 49.294 2m 2020-10-09 50.285 2m 2020-10-10 51.297 2m 2020-10-11 52.333 2m 2020-10-12 53.396 2m 2020-10-13 54.507 2m 2020-10-14 55.645 2m 2020-10-15 56.828 2m 2020-10-16 58.057 2m 2020-10-17 59.353 2m 2020-10-18 60.763 2m 2020-10-19 62.25 2m 2020-10-20 63.816 2m 2020-10-21 65.436 2m 2020-10-22 67.125 2m 2020-10-23 68.958 2m 2020-10-24 71.019 2m 2020-10-25 73.366 2m 2020-10-26 75.987 2m 2020-10-27 78.802 2m 2020-10-28 81.727 2m 2020-10-29 84.753 2m 2020-10-30 87.938 2m 2020-10-31 91.405 2m 2020-11-01 95.215 2m 2020-11-02 99.41 2m 2020-11-03 103.941 2m 2020-11-04 108.672 2m 2020-11-05 113.424 2m 2020-11-06 118.129 2m 2020-11-07 122.863 2m 2020-11-08 127.802 2m 2020-11-09 133.005 2m 2020-11-10 138.28 2m 2020-11-11 143.245 2m 2020-11-12 147.624 2m 2020-11-13 151.513 2m 2020-11-14 155.043 2m 2020-11-15 158.144 2m 2020-11-16 160.767 2m 2020-11-17 162.903 2m 2020-11-18 164.384 2m 2020-11-19 165.028 2m 2020-11-20 165.01 2m 2020-11-21 164.789 2m 2020-11-22 164.843 2m 2020-11-23 165.516 2m 2020-11-24 166.589 2m 2020-11-25 167.734 2m 2020-11-26 169.02 2m 2020-11-27 170.577 2m 2020-11-28 172.499 2m 2020-11-29 174.934 2m 2020-11-30 178.007 2m 2020-12-01 181.699 2m 2020-12-02 185.781 2m 2020-12-03 189.857 2m 2020-12-04 193.733 2m 2020-12-05 197.549 2m 2020-12-06 201.32 2m 2020-12-07 205.019 2m 2020-12-08 208.591 2m 2020-12-09 211.708 2m 2020-12-10 214.168 2m 2020-12-11 215.895 2m 2020-12-12 216.787 2m 2020-12-13 216.818 2m 2020-12-14 216.022 2m 2020-12-15 214.601 2m 2020-12-16 212.561 2m 2020-12-17 209.828 2m 2020-12-18 206.626 2m 2020-12-19 203.507 2m 2020-12-20 200.708 2m 2020-12-21 198.319 2m 2020-12-22 196.43 2m 2020-12-23 194.806 2m 2020-12-24 193.448 2m 2020-12-25 192.726 2m 2020-12-26 193.065 2m 2020-12-27 194.819 2m 2020-12-28 198.116 2m 2020-12-29 202.634 2m 2020-12-30 207.651 2m 2020-12-31 212.461 2m 2021-01-01 216.621 2m 2021-01-02 220.676 2m 2021-01-03 225.367 2m 2021-01-04 230.699 2m 2021-01-05 235.913 2m 2021-01-06 239.965 2m 2021-01-07 241.886 2m 2021-01-08 241.572 2m 2021-01-09 239.559 2m 2021-01-10 236.252 2m 2021-01-11 232.212 2m 2021-01-12 227.923 2m 2021-01-13 223.612 2m 2021-01-14 218.566 2m 2021-01-15 212.367 2m 2021-01-16 205.466 2m 2021-01-17 198.5 2m 2021-01-18 192.113 2m 2021-01-19 186.339 2m 2021-01-20 181.057 2m 2021-01-21 176.121 2m 2021-01-22 171.311 2m 2021-01-23 166.618 2m 2021-01-24 162.083 2m 2021-01-25 157.731 2m 2021-01-26 153.603 2m 2021-01-27 149.631 2m 2021-01-28 145.779 2m 2021-01-29 142.047 2m 2021-01-30 138.333 2m 2021-01-31 134.545 2m 2021-02-01 130.604 2m 2021-02-02 126.513 2m 2021-02-03 122.285 2m 2021-02-04 117.981 2m 2021-02-05 113.676 2m 2021-02-06 109.335 2m 2021-02-07 105.007 2m 2021-02-08 100.849 2m 2021-02-09 96.831 2m 2021-02-10 92.903 2m 2021-02-11 89.112 2m 2021-02-12 85.476 2m 2021-02-13 82.106 2m 2021-02-14 79.148 2m 2021-02-15 76.58 2m 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83.84495955 48.13025328 3.962492395 4m 2021-10-30 85.86280482 49.22897706 3.999093753 4m 2021-10-31 87.96113872 50.37523781 4.038261677 4m 2021-11-01 90.13375209 51.56531171 4.079847791 4m 2021-11-02 92.40472238 52.81505327 4.124747454 4m 2021-11-03 94.81116212 54.14381199 4.174239836 4m 2021-11-04 97.36427324 55.55789691 4.228740146 4m 2021-11-05 100.0647229 57.05968758 4.288310845 4m 2021-11-06 102.9076875 58.6498519 4.352850536 4m 2021-11-07 105.8841262 60.32787992 4.422160834 4m 2021-11-08 108.9815588 62.09317651 4.495966341 4m 2021-11-09 112.1833223 63.93429712 4.573915945 4m 2021-11-10 115.4674723 65.84086708 4.655586819 4m 2021-11-11 118.8082799 67.8007892 4.740447005 4m 2021-11-12 122.1730349 69.79879676 4.8278477 4m 2021-11-13 125.5235219 71.81705088 4.917090492 4m 2021-11-14 128.8634201 73.85943768 5.008673778 4m 2021-11-15 132.2246348 75.94768675 5.103886967 4m 2021-11-16 135.6041506 78.08705584 5.203145991 4m 2021-11-17 138.9865144 80.26943257 5.306569661 4m 2021-11-18 142.349417 82.48480311 5.414114952 4m 2021-11-19 145.667064 84.72290585 5.525592361 4m 2021-11-20 148.910726 86.97094845 5.640742956 4m 2021-11-21 152.0489018 89.21268156 5.759180339 4m 2021-11-22 155.0476567 91.4297395 5.880476724 4m 2021-11-23 157.8708858 93.60185404 6.00412224 4m 2021-11-24 160.4802215 95.70673129 6.129502638 4m 2021-11-25 162.8181647 97.7094794 6.255358863 4m 2021-11-26 164.8328313 99.57674387 6.380444473 4m 2021-11-27 166.5000871 101.2933708 6.504226041 4m 2021-11-28 167.8103906 102.8482344 6.626464116 4m 2021-11-29 168.7630819 104.2339267 6.746777316 4m 2021-11-30 169.3647695 105.447596 6.865474815 4m 2021-12-01 169.6301291 106.4906726 6.982882261 4m 2021-12-02 169.5814425 107.373955 7.099374729 4m 2021-12-03 169.2476358 108.1073176 7.215631061 4m 2021-12-04 168.6633288 108.703828 7.332470669 4m 2021-12-05 167.8678727 109.1812237 7.45088112 4m 2021-12-06 166.9040778 109.5608175 7.572032173 4m 2021-12-07 165.7552416 109.8271053 7.694878342 4m 2021-12-08 164.3746819 109.9428876 7.817100503 4m 2021-12-09 162.7597045 109.8989432 7.937910692 4m 2021-12-10 160.9257909 109.6988318 8.057107734 4m 2021-12-11 158.8962675 109.3516343 8.174767042 4m 2021-12-12 156.6977448 108.8695628 8.291130454 4m 2021-12-13 154.3583005 108.2669703 8.406569511 4m 2021-12-14 151.9065935 107.5597382 8.521574275 4m 2021-12-15 149.372141 106.7648428 8.636777764 4m 2021-12-16 146.7825828 105.8999618 8.752947813 4m 2021-12-17 144.165018 104.98314 8.870921034 4m 2021-12-18 141.5199194 104.0135807 8.990262999 4m 2021-12-19 138.8326496 102.9794544 9.109740536 4m 2021-12-20 136.104268 101.8803068 9.228909234 4m 2021-12-21 133.3413681 100.7200832 9.347617015 4m 2021-12-22 130.5533604 99.50509708 9.465836179 4m 2021-12-23 127.7508958 98.24280294 9.583602216 4m 2021-12-24 124.9441644 96.94586516 9.700987437 4m 2021-12-25 122.142567 95.61829143 9.818089252 4m 2021-12-26 119.35466 94.2653639 9.935046504 4m 2021-12-27 116.594633 92.89785907 10.05204154 4m 2021-12-28 113.8687866 91.52007775 10.16928387 4m 2021-12-29 111.1799551 90.13522665 10.28694205 4m 2021-12-30 108.5304498 88.74587183 10.4050611 4m 2021-12-31