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International Tax

Limit GILTI Benefits to Foreign-Derived Income (No Round-Tripping)

Under current law, shareholders in a Controlled Foreign Corporation (CFC) can deduct 50 percent of their Global Intangible Low-Taxed Income (GILTI) from taxable income. This deduction results in GILTI being taxed at a lower effective tax rate than other income. The reduced rate on GILTI means that multinationals serving the U.S. market may have an incentive to route their activities through a CFC, a practice referred to as “round-tripping.” Profits from sales to the U.S. by a CFC could be treated as GILTI and taxed at the lower rate. If those same profits were earned directly by the domestic corporation, they would be taxed at the full 21 percent statutory rate.

This proposal would limit the deduction to GILTI derived from serving foreign markets. GILTI derived from serving the U.S. market would not be eligible for the deduction and would be taxed at the statutory rate of 21 percent. Income is identified as either foreign-derived or U.S.-derived following the same definitions used under current law to determine Foreign-Derived Intangible Income (FDII): foreign-derived income is any income from the sale of property to a non-U.S. person for foreign use, or from the provision of services to persons outside the U.S.

White House Reconciliation Revenue Package

At 9AM this morning, the White House released a set of revenue options for budget reconciliation that the White House estimated to total $1,995 billion over 10 years (available here). PWBM's estimate of the same package is $1,527 billion, a difference of $468 billion.

Revenue Provisions in the House Ways and Means Reconciliation Bill: Budgetary Effects

PWBM projects that the revenue-raising provisions in the House Ways and Means Reconciliation Bill would raise roughly $2.4 trillion from 2022 to 2031. For more information, please see our full analysis.

The Biden Platform

Presidential candidate Joe Biden’s campaign has released a substantial list of policy proposals. PWBM finds that over the 10-year budget window 2021 – 2030, the Biden platform would raise $3.375 trillion in additional tax revenue and increase spending by $5.37 trillion. Including macroeconomic and health effects, by 2050 the Biden platform would decrease the federal debt by 6.1 percent and increase GDP by 0.8 percent relative to current law. Almost 80 percent of the increase in taxes under the Biden tax plan would fall on the top 1 percent of the income distribution. Please see our analysis of the estimate for more information on the proposals.

Business Taxation in the Biden Tax Plan

We analyze several foreign and domestic business taxation provisions from the Biden tax plan. While raising the effective tax rate on foreign profits increases domestic capital, wages, and GDP, provisions that raise domestic business taxes have the opposite effect—when combined, these business tax provisions decrease the capital stock by 0.21 percent and decrease wages by 0.69 percent in 2050.

The Updated Biden Tax Plan

We estimate the budgetary, distributional and economic effects over the 10-year budget window (2021 - 2030) of Presidential Candidate and Former Vice President Joe Biden's updated tax plan. Detailed summaries of each proposal can be found in our analysis of this estimate and our analysis of the previous version of his plan.

Global Intangible Low-Taxed Income, 2020-2030: Estimates for the U.S. and Massachusetts

PWBM projects that U.S. multinational corporations will generate about $4.6 trillion in Global Intangible Low-Taxed Income over the 10-year period from 2021 to 2030. PWBM estimates that 3 percent of this amount, or about $140 billion, would be apportioned to Massachusetts.

The Biden Tax Plan

We estimate the budgetary, distributional and economic effects over the 10-year budget window (2021 - 2030) of Former Vice President Joe Biden's tax plan, which raises taxes on high-income households through ten specific proposals, united around the common theme of raising taxes on capital income. Detailed summaries of each proposal can be found in our analysis of the estimate.